Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Regent's Park and Kensington North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Karen P. Buck
Conservative Party:
Peter D. Wilson
Liberal Democratic Party:
David Boyle
UK Independence Party:
John de Roeck

Incumbent:
Ms Karen Buck

97 Result:
Karen Buck
28,36759.9%
Paul McGuiness
13,71029.0%
Emily Gasson
4,0418.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,34464.19%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,31748.3%
21,50341.1%
4,1637.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,36874.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.4%
16-2413.3%
25-3927.7%
40-6524.9%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White74.9%
Black12.0%
Indian/Pakistani4.5%
Other non-white8.6%

Employment:
Full Time61.3%
Part Time8.8%
Self Employed13.2%
Government Schemes1.4%
Unemployed15.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.3%
II - Managerial/Technical37.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)15.6%
IV - Partly Skilled10.9%
V - Unskilled6.0%

Misc:
Own Residence33.1%
Rent Residence64.8%
Own Car(s)40.6%
Submissions
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25/04/01 JR Email:
A new seat created at the last election, but based around the abolished Tory marginal of Westminster North. Labour gave it the full 'key seat' treatment and local activists warned it was a low-swing area that could be a tougher nut to crack than the numbers suggested. They must surely have been surprised how effortlessly they won on the night, outpolling the Tories by more than two to one. The stark social divide here means that a lot comes down to turnout rather than swing voters. Karen Buck's 15000 majority is almost certainly safe but Labour should make every effort to get their voters to the polls and not be complacent.
03/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Singleton central = a Labour advantage as pleasingly plump as Renee Zellweger as Bridget Jones...

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Last Updated 4 June 2001
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