Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Ruislip - Northwood

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Gillian M. Travers
Conservative Party:
John A.D. Wilkinson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Michael Cox
Green Party:
Graham Lee

Incumbent:
John Wilkinson

97 Result:
Paul Barker
14,73232.9%
John Wilkinson
22,52650.2%
Chris Edwards
7,27916.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
44,83374.24%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
9,52119.9%
30,13062.9%
7,98116.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,92678.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.4%
16-2411.6%
25-3922.2%
40-6527.7%
65 <20.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White92.6%
Black1.0%
Indian/Pakistani4.0%
Other non-white2.3%

Employment:
Full Time67.0%
Part Time14.2%
Self Employed12.5%
Government Schemes0.6%
Unemployed5.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.2%
II - Managerial/Technical37.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)18.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)21.5%
IV - Partly Skilled7.4%
V - Unskilled2.9%

Misc:
Own Residence77.2%
Rent Residence20.8%
Own Car(s)77.9%
Submissions
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01/05/01 JR Email:
Hardline rightwinger John Wilkinson - who caused his own government no end of trouble as one of the hard core Euro-sceptic rebels who dogged John Major's premiership - won by 8000 here even in 1997, when the Tories did particularly badly in London. If you exclude the possibility of a byelection in the midterm of a Tory Government (and there isn't likely to be one of them in the near future) it is hard to see the circumstances in which this seat would be anything other than Tory.

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Last Updated 1 May 2001
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