Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Uxbridge

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David N. Salisbury-Jones
Conservative Party:
A. John Randall
Liberal Democratic Party:
Catherine Royce
UK Independence Party:
Paul Cannons

Incumbent:
John Randall

97 Result:
David Williams
17,37141.8%
Michael Shersby
18,09543.6%
Andrew Malyan
4,52810.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
41,54572.26%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
13,09929.0%
25,46756.4%
5,66312.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,15775.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2413.4%
25-3925.1%
40-6525.5%
65 <16.6%

Ethnic Origin:
White91.7%
Black1.2%
Indian/Pakistani4.7%
Other non-white2.3%

Employment:
Full Time69.5%
Part Time12.9%
Self Employed10.0%
Government Schemes0.7%
Unemployed6.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.3%
II - Managerial/Technical32.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.3%
IV - Partly Skilled8.9%
V - Unskilled4.2%

Misc:
Own Residence71.5%
Rent Residence25.3%
Own Car(s)75.6%
Submissions
Submit Information here

24/04/01 JR Email:
Sir Michael Shersby died just nine days after being reelected by a 700 vote majority. Labour pulled all the stops out in a July 1997 byelection but were hampered by a row over their candidate - a local leftwinger who had run it close against Shersby was barred from the shortlist by party HQ. There was a swing of 5% back to the Tories and local department store owner John Randall - one of the very few Tory MPs with a beard - won by 3500. Labour are defending a lot of crucial marginals in North and West London and will have better things to do than target a seat they couldn't win at the height of their post election honeymoon.
05/06/01 Email:dadge@hotmail.com
One seat I wouldn't put money on. Unless the bet is that it's going to be close. Okay, Labour put its foot in it here in 97 (typical Blairism) but if there is a national swing to Labour, tactical voting, and a continuation of the trend away from the Tories in London, Labour must be in with a shout.
06/06/01 M. Reeve Email:mjr55@cam.ac.uk
I think he's the only Tory MP with a beard, isn't he? And he has the advantage of being well-known as a local businessman, and he won the first by-election for the Conservatives since William Hague in 1989! I can't see him losing it.

Submit Information here
Back to London Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 7 June 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster