Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Birmingham, Ladywood

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. Clare Short
Conservative Party:
Benjamin Prentice
Liberal Democratic Party:
Mahmood Chaudhry
UK Independence Party:
Dr. Anneliese Nattrass

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Clare Short

97 Result:
Clair Short
28,13474.1%
Shailesh Vara
5,05213.3%
Sardul Singh Marwa
3,0208.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
37,97754.24%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
30,06571.4%
8,59620.4%
3,4478.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
42,10858.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1628.9%
16-2416.8%
25-3921.8%
40-6519.6%
65 <12.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White46.4%
Black16.8%
Indian/Pakistani33.1%
Other non-white3.7%

Employment:
Full Time54.3%
Part Time8.9%
Self Employed5.5%
Government Schemes3.4%
Unemployed27.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional2.5%
II - Managerial/Technical14.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.5%
IV - Partly Skilled23.4%
V - Unskilled7.7%

Misc:
Own Residence36.8%
Rent Residence61.4%
Own Car(s)33.5%
Submissions
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21/05/01 LB Email:
Where are all you Brummies who are interested in elections? I will stick my (London-based) oar in and predict a big win for Clare Short, a politician who inspires genuine regard as someone who speaks her mind and has also been the best minister for international development Britain has had. Her constituency is inner-city Birmingham and is rare in being a seat where whites are in a minority. It is overwhelmingly safe for Short, although turnout was low in 1997 and might fall below 50% this time.

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Last Updated 20 May 2001
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