Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bosworth

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew C. Furlong
Conservative Party:
David A.S. Tredinnick
Liberal Democratic Party:
John M.H. Ellis

Incumbent:
David Tredinnick

97 Result:
Andrew Furlong
20,16238.7%
David Tredinnick
21,18940.6%
Jonathan Ellis
9,28117.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,15376.57%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
14,73226.4%
28,86351.6%
11,57620.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,88784.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.1%
16-2412.3%
25-3921.8%
40-6528.4%
65 <17.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.0%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.5%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time66.5%
Part Time15.4%
Self Employed11.9%
Government Schemes0.8%
Unemployed5.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.8%
II - Managerial/Technical31.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.0%
IV - Partly Skilled14.4%
V - Unskilled3.1%

Misc:
Own Residence81.1%
Rent Residence17.7%
Own Car(s)77.3%
Submissions
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26/05/01 Alastair Matlock Email:
Bosworth has been Conservative now for over thirty years. It was extremely close in 1997 on the strength of the Labour sweep. Look for the Conservative here to win my a more comfortable, yet close margin.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Although it was Labour until 1970, Bosworth is now the classic "escapee" from the Massacre of 1997, thanks in part to just the right dash of the Mid-Mid-Midlands commuter class to offset memories of manufacturing and mining. (Though it may be argued that it just lucked into the Tory side of the margin of error, while others like the "Northampton 3" fell on the Labour side.) It should have been that Tredinnick earned a lease on life for surviving 1997, but the way things are trending, this may well be his turn to wave Bye Bye, Bosworth...

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Last Updated 7 June 2001
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