Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Rugby and Kenilworth

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Andrew King
Conservative Party:
David J.P. Martin
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gwen Fairweather
UK Independence Party:
Paul Garrett

Incumbent:
Andrew King

97 Result:
Andy King
26,35643.1%
James Pawsey
25,86142.3%
Jerry Roodhouse
8,73714.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
61,20577.10%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,89432.0%
34,21852.4%
9,97115.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
65,28583.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2412.6%
25-3921.0%
40-6528.2%
65 <18.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White95.5%
Black1.2%
Indian/Pakistani2.5%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time66.3%
Part Time16.6%
Self Employed10.1%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed6.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.4%
II - Managerial/Technical33.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.8%
IV - Partly Skilled12.1%
V - Unskilled3.8%

Misc:
Own Residence77.3%
Rent Residence21.3%
Own Car(s)75.6%
Submissions
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27/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
While a big urban blotch like Rugby makes this look more "naturally" Labour than it is (a Crewe & Nantwich wannabe?), the counterbalancing Kenilworth part--in a sense, the northern extremity of Oxfordian Tory gentility--turns this into a western satellite of Labour's Kettering-to-MK marginalpatch. Tory-targeted, as one would expect, though Coventryan vibes hold promise of saving the joint...

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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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