Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Blaydon

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
John D. McWilliam
Conservative Party:
Mark A. Watson
Liberal Democratic Party:
Peter D. Maughan

Incumbent:
John McWilliam

97 Result:
John McWilliam
27,53560.0%
Mark Watson
6,04813.2%
Peter Maughan
10,93023.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,92570.98%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,02852.7%
13,68526.7%
10,60220.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,31576.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.8%
16-2412.0%
25-3921.0%
40-6528.8%
65 <19.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time17.2%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes1.8%
Unemployed9.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.6%
II - Managerial/Technical27.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)31.1%
IV - Partly Skilled14.0%
V - Unskilled5.3%

Misc:
Own Residence65.0%
Rent Residence34.0%
Own Car(s)58.7%
Submissions
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11/05/01 J Smith Email:
This is Labour territory. This is a safe seat for them in the election. Even if they lost 1/4 of their votes from the last election, they would still win this one. Labour landslide in Blaydon.
28/05/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Blyth Valley or Chesterfield it's not, at least for now, but take note that LD was jolted into a decisive second-place advantage in '97 (and the same candidate's running in '01). But with Labour 2 1/2 times better, it's still too steep a hill to climb...

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Last Updated 28 May 2001
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