Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Ashok Kumar
Conservative Party:
Barbara Harpham
Liberal Democratic Party:
Linda Parrish

Incumbent:
Dr Ashok Kumar

97 Result:
Ashok Kumar
29,31954.7%
Michael Bates
18,71234.9%
Hamish Garrett
4,0047.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,58776.03%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
24,40143.3%
25,80245.8%
6,16310.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,36680.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.7%
16-2412.5%
25-3921.1%
40-6527.4%
65 <16.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.2%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time59.8%
Part Time18.2%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes3.0%
Unemployed11.3%

Household SEG:
I - Professional8.2%
II - Managerial/Technical28.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)12.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.7%
IV - Partly Skilled16.3%
V - Unskilled5.3%

Misc:
Own Residence68.3%
Rent Residence30.5%
Own Car(s)65.9%
Submissions
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13/05/01 JR Email:
Ashok Kumar probably knows better than most how fickle the electorate can be. In November 1991 he gained this seat in a byelection (it was then called Langbaurgh) only for it to revert to the Tories less than five months later in the April 1992 general election. This is a standard marginal seat - one of very few in the North East. The polls being as they are this means it should stick with Labour, although there is some evidence from local elections that Labour aren't doing as well in Northern marginals as in Southern ones.

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Last Updated 15 May 2001
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