Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Newcastle upon Tyne Central

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
James M. Cousins
Conservative Party:
Aidan Ruff
Liberal Democratic Party:
Stephen Psallidas
Independent:
Gordon Potts

Incumbent:
Jim Cousins

97 Result:
Jim Cousins
27,27259.2%
Brooks Newmark
10,79223.4%
Ruth Berry
6,91115.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
46,08866.05%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,28151.7%
17,39335.6%
6,20812.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,88270.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.0%
16-2414.2%
25-3923.8%
40-6522.7%
65 <21.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White93.8%
Black0.6%
Indian/Pakistani3.7%
Other non-white1.9%

Employment:
Full Time61.1%
Part Time14.0%
Self Employed9.1%
Government Schemes2.2%
Unemployed13.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional14.7%
II - Managerial/Technical31.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)19.6%
IV - Partly Skilled10.9%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence52.4%
Rent Residence46.4%
Own Car(s)49.1%
Submissions
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13/05/01 JR Email:
surprisingly enough this was actually a Tory seat between 1983 and 1987 held by local journalist Piers Merchant (who later became MP for Beckenham in London until his resignation over issues in his private life). The Tories were probably helped by the presence of John Horam - a sitting MP who had defected from Labour - as the SDP candidate. (Horam later became a Tory and as MP for Orpington was a junior minister in the Major government who drew headlines in the last campaign for going against the party line on the European single currency). The seat returned to its natural Labour colours in 1987, and Jim Cousins should have no problems being reelected.

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Last Updated 15 May 2001
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