Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Newcastle upon Tyne North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Douglas J. Henderson
Conservative Party:
Philip Smith
Liberal Democratic Party:
Graham Soult

Incumbent:
Doug Henderson

97 Result:
Doug Henderson
28,12562.2%
Gregory White
8,79319.4%
Peter Allen
6,57814.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,22969.20%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
25,12149.4%
16,17531.8%
9,54218.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,83875.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2411.7%
25-3921.4%
40-6527.6%
65 <19.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.3%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.9%
Other non-white0.7%

Employment:
Full Time63.2%
Part Time17.2%
Self Employed6.8%
Government Schemes1.7%
Unemployed11.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.3%
II - Managerial/Technical25.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.4%
IV - Partly Skilled12.8%
V - Unskilled4.9%

Misc:
Own Residence60.3%
Rent Residence38.6%
Own Car(s)54.6%
Submissions
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07/05/01 Pseudonym 'Disraeli' Email:
The likelihood of this constituency, with its immense majority, turfing out Labour is the same as the likelihood of William Hague's hair follicles regenerating!
13/05/01 PSR Email:
God! I hope they don't find a cure for hair loss!
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
If anyone cares for a little electoral Rogaine, Labour scored but 37-and-a-half points here in 1983, just five above the Conservatives--and even in 1987, it was just beneath a 10-point margin, and in 1992 Labour still couldn't crack 50%, so, hope. Oh, yeah, and I'm fooling around with Ffion. As if.

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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