Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Fylde

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
John R. Stockton
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. J. Michael Jack
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Begg

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Michael Jack

97 Result:
John Garett
16,48031.7%
Michael Jack
25,44348.9%
Bill Greene
7,60914.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,06772.94%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
9,82718.6%
31,84960.2%
10,93720.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,88175.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.4%
16-2410.9%
25-3918.6%
40-6527.9%
65 <25.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.1%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time63.4%
Part Time15.9%
Self Employed14.5%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed5.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional10.5%
II - Managerial/Technical37.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)19.2%
IV - Partly Skilled11.4%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence78.3%
Rent Residence19.6%
Own Car(s)74.8%
Submissions
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14/05/01 L.R.A.C. Email:
This riding will probably remain in Tory hands. In the Tory collapse of 1997, Fylde was one of two seats in Lancashire to remain Tory; the other being Ribble Valley -preceding the 97 results, the Tories held nine Lancashire seats. A third of the electorate is composed of retirees and 80% of residents are homeowners. I'd call this a probable Tory hold.

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Last Updated 17 MAy 2001
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