Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Liverpool, Walton

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Peter Kilfoyle
Conservative Party:
Stephen Horgan
Liberal Democratic Party:
Kiron J.C. Reid

Incumbent:
Peter Kilfoyle

97 Result:
Peter Kilfoyle
31,51678.4%
Mark Kotecha
2,5516.3%
Richard Roberts
4,47811.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,20759.54%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
34,21472.4%
5,91512.5%
5,67212.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
47,25566.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.3%
16-2413.1%
25-3922.6%
40-6523.9%
65 <18.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.7%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time54.5%
Part Time15.0%
Self Employed5.6%
Government Schemes3.1%
Unemployed21.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional1.1%
II - Managerial/Technical15.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)30.3%
IV - Partly Skilled19.7%
V - Unskilled8.6%

Misc:
Own Residence53.1%
Rent Residence45.7%
Own Car(s)38.2%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
With a massive 27,000 majority, it's hard to see Labour losing here, especially since Peter Kilfoyle has been one of those demanding that New Labour spend more time concentrating on its heartlands. However, it will be interesting to see whether the Lib Dems are able to consolidate the second-placing they won last time, profiting from their new-found high-profile status in Liverpool with a huge majority on the city council.
19/04/01 JR Email: robertsat13@cwcom.net
Like Riverside, turnout a big issue but Peter Kilfoyle will win 75%+ anyway. He resigned as a junior minister in the Blair government protesting Labour had gone too far away from its traditional roots. Got a lot of national publicity and is never out of the Liverpool Echo - maybe disgruntled heartland voters will be more likely to turn out for him?

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Last Updated 26 April 2001
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