Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Morecambe and Lunesdale

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Geraldine Smith
Conservative Party:
David J. Nuttall
Liberal Democratic Party:
Christopher Cotton
UK Independence Party:
Gregg J. Beaman

Incumbent:
Miss Geraldine Smith

97 Result:
Geraldine Smith
24,06148.9%
Mark Lennox-Boyd
18,09636.7%
Dexter Bracey
5,61411.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,24972.41%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
15,72029.4%
26,29249.2%
10,18319.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,41878.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.9%
16-2411.1%
25-3918.8%
40-6526.8%
65 <24.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.4%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.2%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time57.3%
Part Time18.0%
Self Employed14.5%
Government Schemes1.5%
Unemployed8.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.3%
II - Managerial/Technical27.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.0%
IV - Partly Skilled15.3%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence77.1%
Rent Residence21.6%
Own Car(s)66.5%
Submissions
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08/05/01 J Smith Email:
Even if the Tories were able to take every Liberal vote here from the last election, it still would be enough to beat Labour. Another Labour hold.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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