Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Salford

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Hazel-Anne Blears
Conservative Party:
Christopher King
Liberal Democratic Party:
Norman J. Owen
Socialist Alliance:
Peter Grant

Incumbent:
Ms Hazel Blears

97 Result:
Hazel Blears
22,84869.0%
Elliot Bishop
5,77917.4%
Norman Owen
3,40710.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
33,12256.51%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,53259.1%
10,54526.5%
5,01712.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
39,80565.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.3%
16-2413.9%
25-3920.9%
40-6523.7%
65 <20.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.7%
Black0.8%
Indian/Pakistani1.2%
Other non-white1.3%

Employment:
Full Time58.4%
Part Time14.3%
Self Employed7.3%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed18.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.4%
II - Managerial/Technical21.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.8%
IV - Partly Skilled19.7%
V - Unskilled7.6%

Misc:
Own Residence40.9%
Rent Residence57.6%
Own Car(s)40.5%
Submissions
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27/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
BBC2's Newsnight programme have been running a series on Salford, visiting some of the most deprived neighbourhoods in the country to assess New Labour's record in tackling inequality and poverty. Large amounts of money are being poured into this town for the purposes of regeneration, but that's not going to turn things round overnight. This is the sort of place, blighted by economic decay and the breakdown of the social fabric, where apathy and abstention will hit record highs. Hazel Blears will win another effortless victory but the real question will be how many(or how few) people make it the polls at all. In areas like this as much as 30% of the adult population of working age depend on state benefits for their income, and one opinion poll predicts that 55% of benefit recipients will stay at home in this election.

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Last Updated 29 April 2001
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