Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
South Ribble

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David S. Borrow
Conservative Party:
Adrian Owens
Liberal Democratic Party:
Mark Alcock

Incumbent:
David Borrow

97 Result:
Dennis Golden
25,85646.8%
Robert Atkins
20,77237.6%
Tim Farron
5,87910.6%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,23177.06%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
20,52634.8%
29,36649.8%
8,69514.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
58,91383.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.2%
16-2412.4%
25-3921.9%
40-6527.8%
65 <16.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.0%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.4%

Employment:
Full Time64.6%
Part Time17.2%
Self Employed11.5%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed5.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.1%
II - Managerial/Technical31.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)27.5%
IV - Partly Skilled14.1%
V - Unskilled3.6%

Misc:
Own Residence84.2%
Rent Residence14.8%
Own Car(s)79.0%
Submissions
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05/06/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
If the Tories were to manage even a moderate national swing, they might be able to take this one back. They won't, though ... so they won't, probably.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Among Labour's '97 gains, this counts in the surprise-collateral-pickup category--middle-class homeowners tend to be the rule in this slice of intersticial Lancashire. Like so much else in Lancs, it was trending leftward for years, but Labour was still 15 notional points behind in '92, so Tories should be definitely eyeing the rabble in South Ribble if they want to make headway...

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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