Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
St Helens North

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David L. Watts
Conservative Party:
Simon Pearce
Liberal Democratic Party:
John L. Beirne

Incumbent:
Dave Watts

97 Result:
Dave Watts
31,95364.9%
Pelham Walker
8,53617.3%
John Beirne
6,27012.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,23068.97%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
31,93057.9%
15,68628.5%
7,22413.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,12776.7%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.2%
16-2413.2%
25-3920.5%
40-6528.1%
65 <17.9%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time63.9%
Part Time15.3%
Self Employed7.7%
Government Schemes2.3%
Unemployed10.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.8%
II - Managerial/Technical26.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)10.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)35.9%
IV - Partly Skilled14.2%
V - Unskilled4.5%

Misc:
Own Residence67.4%
Rent Residence31.6%
Own Car(s)65.4%
Submissions
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11/05/01 JR Email:
pretty much the same as for St Helens South, although there are slightly more Tory votes thanks to the presence of the largely rural ward of Rainford, the base of three of the Borough Council's four Conservative members. Former council leader Dave Watts was selected here at the last minute in 1997 - the rumour was that veteran MP and party insider John Evans had left his retirement announcement to the last minute as a favour to Watts, in order to prevent party HQ from insisting on an all-woman shortlist of prospective candidates. Don't expect any excitement in this election.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
Shaun Woodward isn't standing here *whew*. Yer usual Labour coronation in store.
05/06/01 J.F. Breton Email:
With 64% of the vote for Labour in 1997, I can't see how Tories will be able to win in this riding. For sure: Labour.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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