Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Wythenshawe and Sale East

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Paul G. Goggins
Conservative Party:
Susan Fildes
Liberal Democratic Party:
Vanessa M. Tucker
Green Party:
Lance Crookes

Incumbent:
Paul Goggins

97 Result:
Paul Goggins
26,44858.1%
Paul Fleming
11,42925.1%
Vanessa Tucker
5,63912.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
45,53363.25%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
26,93549.5%
18,97734.9%
7,86914.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,38171.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.0%
16-2412.3%
25-3920.8%
40-6523.7%
65 <21.2%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.2%
Black1.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.6%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time62.2%
Part Time15.1%
Self Employed7.8%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed13.8%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.6%
II - Managerial/Technical24.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.7%
IV - Partly Skilled15.7%
V - Unskilled7.9%

Misc:
Own Residence46.4%
Rent Residence52.4%
Own Car(s)52.4%
Submissions
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01/06/01 JR Email:
This constituency, based around the Manchester council estate of Wythenshawe, has been Labour for thirty-seven years and will remain so for at least another 37! In 1997 Alf Morris, the local MP since 1964 and a prominent campaigner for the rights of disabled people, retired to make way for new candidate Paul Goggins. Goggins has completed the first of what are sure to be many terms in Parliament. This is the sort of place which may be susceptible to a very low turnout, but the result is not in any doubt.

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Last Updated 1 June 2001
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