Election Prediction Project
British General Election
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Labour Party:
Michael Meighan
Conservative Party:
Robert Rowantree
Liberal Democratic Party:
Viscount Thurso
Scottish Nationalist Party:
John Macadam
Scottish Socialist Party:
K. Mabon

Rt Hon Robert Maclennan

97 Result:
James Hendry
Tom Miers
Robert Maclennan
Euan Harper
Total Vote Count / Turnout

92 Result: (Redistributed)
Total Vote Count / Turnout

Demographic Profile:


Household SEG:
I - Professional3.9%
II - Managerial/Technical26.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.1%
IV - Partly Skilled16.0%
V - Unskilled9.4%

Own Residence50.5%
Rent Residence49.5%
Submit Information here

24/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
This, the northernmost constituency in mainland Britain, offers proof of the theory that voters in the Highlands often vote more for candidate than party. Robert Maclennan has held this seat since 1966, representing three different parties (Labour until 1981, then the SDP, and then, following merger with the Liberals, the LibDems from 1988). It is difficult to tell what will happen now he is retiring. The Highland Regional Council consists almost entirely of independents, many of whom are elected unopposed, so local elections aren't much of a guide. The Scottish Parliament results were confusing here. The results for the local MSP and the PR list were quite different, the LDs led by 4000 on the first (with Labour second), but only 200 on the second (with the SNP 2nd). The LibDems are the favourites here but victory is by no means guaranteed.
23/05/01 Murray Ritchie and Robbie Dinwoodie The Herald
Poll warning for Tories and LibDems
It also seems fanciful to imagine that, with his personal profile as federal leader of the LibDems, Charles Kennedy could be in danger in Ross, Skye, and Inverness West, but that is a threat on paper. For new candidates in seats where sitting members have retired, such as Rae Michie in Argyll and Bute, or Robert Maclennan in Caithness, Sutherland, and Easter Ross, the trends in our poll appear alarming.
23/05/01 Malcolm Dickson, lecturer in politics at Strathclyde University The Herald
Labour truly lifted
Indeed, three out of Scotland's top 10 marginal seats has Labour challenging in second place, and they are all held by the Liberal Democrats. If the regional pattern of support indicated by System Three were to be reproduced on polling day, then Labour would pick up all three - Tweeddale, Ettrick and Lauderdale; Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross; and, most significantly of all, Ross, Skye and Inverness West, the seat of LibDem leader Charles Kennedy.

Submit Information here
Back to Scotland Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 30 May 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster