Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Ochil

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Martin J. O'Neill
Conservative Party:
Alasdair Campbell
Liberal Democratic Party:
Paul Edie
Scottish Nationalist Party:
Keith Brown
Scottish Socialist Party:
Pauline Thomson
Independent:
Flash Gordon

Incumbent:
Martin O'Neill

97 Result:
Martin O'Neill
19,70745.0%
Allam Hogarth
6,38314.6%
Ann Watters
2,2625.2%
George Reid
1505534.38%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,78677.40%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
18,62043.1%
10,36724.0%
2,9846.9%
11,27026.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,24177.9%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed11.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.7%
II - Managerial/Technical25.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)20.4%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)23.2%
IV - Partly Skilled18.0%
V - Unskilled7.6%

Misc:
Own Residence51.6%
Rent Residence48.4%
Submissions
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27/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
Formerly called Clackmannan, this is a perennial SNP target. However, the SNP couldn't win it in the Scottish Parliament elections with star candidate George Reid, and given opinion poll evidence that the Nationalists poll lower in Westminster elections they won't win it this time either.
22/05/01 JL Email:
I tend to agree with JR. There is considerable disaffection from Labour in Scotland, but the SNP will find it more difficult to get their vote out against them, particularly since George Reid has moved on to other things. Actually, the old name for the constituency was Clackmannan and East Stirling. The old county of Clackmannan was always far too small to have a seat of its own.

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Last Updated 23 May 2001
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