Election Prediction Project
British General Election
Strathkelvin and Bearsden

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Labour Party:
John Lyons
Conservative Party:
Murray Roxburgh
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gordon Macdonald
Scottish Nationalist Party:
Calum Smith
Scottish Socialist Party:
William Telfer

Sam Galbraith

97 Result:
Sam Galbraith
David Sharpe
John Morrison
Graeme McCormick
Total Vote Count / Turnout

92 Result: (Redistributed)
Total Vote Count / Turnout

Demographic Profile:


Household SEG:
I - Professional7.7%
II - Managerial/Technical36.0%
III - Skilled (non-manual)26.6%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)16.4%
IV - Partly Skilled8.8%
V - Unskilled3.8%

Own Residence75.1%
Rent Residence24.9%
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08/05/01 JR Email:
Labour should win here but it will most likely be a closer call than last time. This is actually one of the more middle class and suburban seats in Scotland and would be a good bet for the Tories if it were in England. Indeed, the seat was won by former Scottish Tory Chairman Michael Hirst in 1983 (and between 1974 and 1979 was actually held by the SNP's Margaret Ewing, though she was then called Bain and the seat was called East Dunbartonshire). Sam Galbraith, a former brain surgeon, gained it in the Scottish Tory collapse of 1987, holding on in 1992 and 1997. He was elected to the Scottish Parliament from this seat in 1999, getting the second largest majority (after Falkirk West independent Dennis Canavan). Given that many seats with a much stronger Labour tradition produced much smaller margins in 1999, this would suggest Galbraith has a large personal vote which would not vote Labour in his absence.
05/06/01 Josh Email:hoshie@hotpop.com
This seat was held by Sam Galbraith in the Westminster and Hollyrood parliaments. Galbraith decided to resign from Hollyrood due to health reasons. (He Had decided to quit Westminster after the Hollyrood elections) As there is two elections (Westminster and Hollyrood) being held on 7 June, I suspect turnout will be low. This should be an easy Labour hold.

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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