Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Western Isles

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Calum A. Macdonald
Conservative Party:
Liberal Democratic Party:
John Horne
Scottish Nationalist Party:
Alasdair Nicholson
Scottish Socialist Party:
J. Telfer

Incumbent:
Calum MacDonald

97 Result:
Calum McDonald
8,95555.6%
J.McGrigor
1,0716.6%
Neil Mitchison
4953.1%
Anne Gillies
537933.40%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
16,10670.08%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
7,66447.8%
1,3628.5%
5523.4%
5,96137.2%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
16,03069.7%

Demographic Profile:

Employment:
Unemployed9.2%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.2%
II - Managerial/Technical23.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)17.9%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.6%
IV - Partly Skilled16.5%
V - Unskilled10.1%

Misc:
Own Residence68.9%
Rent Residence31.0%
Submissions
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19/04/01 Christopher J. Currie Email:8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca
The Western Isles, as I understand it, is the only political region in the UK with a Gaelic-speaking majority. This has nothing to do with the election, I suppose, but I thought that I might include a bit of trivia with my "easy Labour hold, someone has to say it" post.
20/04/01 JR Email:robertsat13@cwcom.net
This seat was held from 1970 until his retirement in 1987 by Donald Stewart for the SNP - for a while the only Nationalist at Westminster. A lot of rural seats in the 'Celtic Fringe' have a tendency to cast personal votes for popular local candidates whatever the party. If the Labour MP here has won three times already he'll probably win again, though a pro-SNP swing may well be likely across Scotland as a whole.
27/05/01 Liam Email:
Gaelic heartland surely will go to SNP eventually now is as good a time as any. SNP will do well across rural seats. The polls dont agree with me tho'
30/05/01 Colin Forth Email:
As has happenned before, there is no SNP surge at this election. This seat, like Ochil and Kilmarnock will only fall to the SNP when Blair finally loses it. Safe for Labour this time around. There is, of course, no correlation between speaking Gaelic and voting SNP.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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