Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Brighton, Kemptown

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Desmond S. Turner
Conservative Party:
Geoffrey Theobald
Liberal Democratic Party:
Janet Marshall
Green Party:
Hugh Barney Miller
UK Independence Party:
James Chamberlain-Webber
Monster Raving Loony Party:
Lady Penelope Thunderbird

Incumbent:
Dr Desmond Turner

97 Result:
Desmond Turner
21,47946.6%
Andrew Bowden
17,94538.9%
Clive Gray
4,4789.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
46,13270.81%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
16,57132.6%
26,82852.8%
7,05613.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,82677.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.3%
16-2411.5%
25-3921.1%
40-6525.5%
65 <23.7%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.9%
Black0.5%
Indian/Pakistani0.6%
Other non-white1.1%

Employment:
Full Time57.3%
Part Time15.5%
Self Employed14.4%
Government Schemes1.1%
Unemployed11.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.6%
II - Managerial/Technical31.5%
III - Skilled (non-manual)16.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)25.3%
IV - Partly Skilled12.5%
V - Unskilled5.2%

Misc:
Own Residence66.3%
Rent Residence32.3%
Own Car(s)61.4%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
The Conservatives lost a large number of votes last time, but this probably represented a one time event. Labour will probably lose most of the support they gained here from the Conservatives, votes likely to return to the Conservative party. I think the Tories will retake this seat from Labour.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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