Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Chatham and Aylesford

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Jonathan R. Shaw
Conservative Party:
Sean Holden
Liberal Democratic Party:
David Lettington
UK Independence Party:
Gregory Knopp

Incumbent:
Jonathan Shaw

97 Result:
Jonathan Shaw
21,19143.1%
Richard Knox-Johnst
18,40137.4%
Robin Murray
7,38915.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,16171.07%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
14,63326.7%
28,05651.3%
11,64321.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,73378.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.7%
16-2413.9%
25-3925.7%
40-6525.3%
65 <12.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.9%
Black0.5%
Indian/Pakistani1.7%
Other non-white0.8%

Employment:
Full Time66.8%
Part Time13.8%
Self Employed10.4%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed8.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.2%
II - Managerial/Technical28.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)32.9%
IV - Partly Skilled12.2%
V - Unskilled4.2%

Misc:
Own Residence79.2%
Rent Residence19.9%
Own Car(s)77.1%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
The Conservatives won this seat in 92 by a large margin, but lost a good deal of that support to the Labour party. At this point in time, it would be difficult to tell whether the Tories or Labour will win this seat. Too close to call!!!

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Last Updated 20 MAy 2001
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