Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Esher and Walton

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Joseph McGowan
Conservative Party:
Ian C. Taylor
Liberal Democratic Party:
Mark J.P. Marsh
UK Independence Party:
Bernard M. Collignon

Incumbent:
Ian Taylor MBE

97 Result:
Julie Reay
12,21922.8%
Ian Taylor
26,74749.8%
Gary Miles
10,93720.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,66774.14%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
9,51317.4%
33,23760.7%
12,01321.9%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,76376.5%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.6%
16-2411.1%
25-3921.1%
40-6529.0%
65 <19.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.6%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani1.2%
Other non-white1.9%

Employment:
Full Time64.2%
Part Time14.0%
Self Employed15.7%
Government Schemes0.4%
Unemployed5.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional12.1%
II - Managerial/Technical47.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)15.2%
IV - Partly Skilled7.3%
V - Unskilled2.2%

Misc:
Own Residence77.5%
Rent Residence20.6%
Own Car(s)82.6%
Submissions
Submit Information here

08/05/01 LB Email:
This is a very safe Conservative seat in which they amazingly failed to poll 50% in 1997. The Tory MP is Ian Taylor, one of the rare pro-European ?Conservatives left and a centrist voice on other issues. Anti-European voters may be more tempted here by the UKIP than in other seats, but Taylor is in a better position to maintain and recover support from Labour and the Liberal Democrats and ensure his version of Conservatism survives. Esher and Walton are commuter towns in Surrey, south west of London and dependent on the South West Trains line into Waterloo.
05/06/01 A.S. Email:adma@interlog.com
I kind of wonder if seats like this would have swung Lib Dem in '97 but for being on the wrong, er, "right" side of the Surrey-London divide...

Submit Information here
Back to South East Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 6 June 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster