Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Gillingham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Paul G. Clark
Conservative Party:
Tim Butcher
Liberal Democratic Party:
Jonathan Hunt
UK Independence Party:
Anthony J.E. Scholefield

Incumbent:
Paul Clark

97 Result:
Paul Clark
20,18739.8%
James Couchman
18,20735.9%
Robert Sayer
9,64919.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
50,68372.00%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
13,33223.8%
29,09252.0%
13,15023.5%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
55,99979.1%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1622.9%
16-2413.1%
25-3923.8%
40-6525.7%
65 <14.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White96.1%
Black0.7%
Indian/Pakistani2.2%
Other non-white1.0%

Employment:
Full Time65.0%
Part Time14.5%
Self Employed10.5%
Government Schemes1.0%
Unemployed8.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.1%
II - Managerial/Technical29.4%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.3%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.8%
IV - Partly Skilled12.7%
V - Unskilled4.4%

Misc:
Own Residence80.4%
Rent Residence18.1%
Own Car(s)72.8%
Submissions
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17/05/01 J Smith Email:
The Conservatives lost this seat last time, but that loss was probably a one time occurance. Labours result this time will probably be closer to their result in 1992. The Conservatives will be able to win this seat, but by not nearly the same number of votes as they did in 1992.
20/05/01 Daniel Hamilton Email:daniel@hamiltonholdings.co.uk
Tim Butcher, the enthusiastic Conservative candidate shouldn't have to many problems taking back this seat from Labour following deep local mistrust of the sitting MP over the asylum issue.

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Last Updated 6 June 2001
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