Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Horsham

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Janet Sully
Conservative Party:
Rt. Hon. Francis A.A. Maude
Liberal Democratic Party:
Hubert Carr
UK Independence Party:
Hugo Miller

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Francis Maude

97 Result:
Maureen Walsh
10,69118.7%
Francis Maude
29,01550.8%
Morwen Millson
14,15324.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,16575.78%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,85811.9%
35,76962.3%
13,07822.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,40979.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.7%
16-2411.9%
25-3922.8%
40-6528.4%
65 <17.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.9%
Black0.2%
Indian/Pakistani0.4%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time65.4%
Part Time15.8%
Self Employed13.2%
Government Schemes0.4%
Unemployed5.1%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.2%
II - Managerial/Technical42.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)14.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)20.3%
IV - Partly Skilled10.0%
V - Unskilled3.4%

Misc:
Own Residence75.9%
Rent Residence20.6%
Own Car(s)84.1%
Submissions
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09/04/01 EP Email:
Being one of the Tory with the highest profile, Francis Maude should have no worries about re-election. His position in the shadow cabinet is quite shaky however. He should probably concerntrate his time on his revolt against William Hague after another stunning defeat for the Tories. Otherwise he will be destined to join Kenneth Clark on the backbench.

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Last Updated 9 April 2001
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