Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
North Thanet

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
James S. Laing
Conservative Party:
Roger J. Gale
Liberal Democratic Party:
Seth Proctor
UK Independence Party:
John Moore

Incumbent:
Roger Gale

97 Result:
Iris Johnson
18,82038.4%
Roger Gale
21,58644.1%
Paul Kendrick
5,57611.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
48,95568.84%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
12,65623.5%
30,86657.2%
9,56317.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,95875.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.3%
16-2410.7%
25-3917.3%
40-6524.3%
65 <29.4%

Ethnic Origin:
White98.8%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.3%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time56.3%
Part Time15.6%
Self Employed15.3%
Government Schemes1.2%
Unemployed11.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.3%
II - Managerial/Technical28.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.1%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.0%
IV - Partly Skilled14.4%
V - Unskilled5.9%

Misc:
Own Residence75.0%
Rent Residence23.7%
Own Car(s)64.2%
Submissions
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10/05/01 Disraeli Email:
It could be a close-run thing given Labour's substantially increased vote in 1997, but it is likely to remain Conservative. Not as safe perhaps as it once was though.

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Last Updated 11 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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