Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Runnymede and Weybridge

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Jane Briginshaw
Conservative Party:
Philip J. Hammond
Liberal Democratic Party:
Christoper S. Bushill
Green Party:
Charles Gilman
UK Independence Party:
Christopher Browne

Incumbent:
Philip Hammond

97 Result:
Ian Peacock
15,17629.4%
Philip Hammond
25,05148.6%
Geoff Taylor
8,39716.3%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
51,56171.44%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
9,00416.0%
34,64561.4%
11,90521.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,43279.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1617.4%
16-2412.0%
25-3922.8%
40-6528.4%
65 <19.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.3%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani0.9%
Other non-white1.5%

Employment:
Full Time67.5%
Part Time13.3%
Self Employed13.3%
Government Schemes0.4%
Unemployed5.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional9.8%
II - Managerial/Technical41.7%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.7%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)22.2%
IV - Partly Skilled8.4%
V - Unskilled3.7%

Misc:
Own Residence76.0%
Rent Residence21.7%
Own Car(s)81.8%
Submissions
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15/05/01 NG Email:
With almost half the vote last time round, the Conservatives will be feeling very safe here, especially given a divided opposition.
14/05/01 LB Email:
Another safe Tory seat in Surrey to fill in... This seat saw a large swing to Labour in 1997, but the party started so far behind that it was only enough to get the party just within 10,000 votes of new Tory MP Philip Hammond. Labour would need another 9.6% swing to win the seat, which isn't going to happen, and there is no sign that local factors will produce an unusual result here.

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Last Updated 17 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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