Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Surrey Heath

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
James A. Norman
Conservative Party:
Nicholas J. Hawkins
Liberal Democratic Party:
Mark Lelliott
UK Independence Party:
Nigel Hunt

Incumbent:
Nick Hawkins

97 Result:
Susan Jones
11,51121.0%
Nick Hawkins
28,23151.6%
David Newman
11,94421.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,72474.14%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,32611.3%
35,73163.7%
12,97723.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
56,06978.4%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1620.8%
16-2412.8%
25-3923.2%
40-6529.9%
65 <13.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.6%
Black0.4%
Indian/Pakistani0.9%
Other non-white1.1%

Employment:
Full Time67.1%
Part Time15.0%
Self Employed12.5%
Government Schemes0.5%
Unemployed4.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional11.4%
II - Managerial/Technical42.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.2%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)19.2%
IV - Partly Skilled8.4%
V - Unskilled2.5%

Misc:
Own Residence80.6%
Rent Residence16.5%
Own Car(s)86.5%
Submissions
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10/05/01 LB Email:
Surrey Heath is a strongly Conservative area by the M3 motorway south west of London, including the town of Camberley. The Tories won a strong majority on the council even in their worst ever year of 1995. Its former MP Michael Grylls stood down in 1997 - he was facing allegations about his involvement with the 'cash for questions' scandal - and he was replaced by Nick Hawkins, one of the few successful chicken run MPs of 1997 who abandoned Blackpool South which went Labour by a mile. He was extremely lucky to end up in such a stronghold and is safe from any threat from general election competitors.

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Last Updated 11 MAy 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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