Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Bristol South

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Dawn Primarolo
Conservative Party:
Richard Eddy
Liberal Democratic Party:
James Main
Green Party:
Glenn R. Vowles
Socialist Alliance:
Brian Drummond

Incumbent:
Ms Dawn Primarolo

97 Result:
Dawn Primarolo
29,89059.9%
Michael Roe
10,56221.2%
Steven Williams
6,69113.4%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
49,85968.87%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
27,25947.3%
19,14433.2%
10,36118.0%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
57,67576.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1621.2%
16-2412.9%
25-3923.3%
40-6524.5%
65 <18.1%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.9%
Black0.8%
Indian/Pakistani0.7%
Other non-white0.6%

Employment:
Full Time61.4%
Part Time16.4%
Self Employed9.0%
Government Schemes1.3%
Unemployed12.0%

Household SEG:
I - Professional3.3%
II - Managerial/Technical20.2%
III - Skilled (non-manual)15.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)33.1%
IV - Partly Skilled17.6%
V - Unskilled6.9%

Misc:
Own Residence61.7%
Rent Residence37.3%
Own Car(s)63.9%
Submissions
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08/05/01 JR Email:
A traditional Labour stronghold. In 1983 it was the only Labour seat in the city of Bristol, and indeed in the whole of the South West of England. Labour had a close shave in 1987, when veteran Labour MP (and former Government Chief Whip) Michael Cocks was deselected in a factional feud. Cocks, on the right of the party, was replaced by Dawn Primarolo, then a follower of the hard left 'Campaign Group' but now a junior Treasury minister under Gordon Brown. However, Primarolo pushed her majority back up in 1992 and passed completely out of danger last time.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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