Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
East Devon

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Philip Starr
Conservative Party:
Hugo F. Swire
Liberal Democratic Party:
Tim Dumper
UK Independence Party:
David Wilson

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Sir Peter Emery

97 Result:
Andrew Siantonas
9,29217.7%
Peter Emery
22,79743.4%
Rachel Trethewey
15,30829.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,55076.06%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
6,68512.2%
28,89552.5%
14,90227.1%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
54,99580.8%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1615.0%
16-2410.3%
25-3914.9%
40-6525.4%
65 <34.3%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.6%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.0%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time54.4%
Part Time17.5%
Self Employed20.3%
Government Schemes1.4%
Unemployed6.4%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.9%
II - Managerial/Technical33.9%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.3%
IV - Partly Skilled13.4%
V - Unskilled6.0%

Misc:
Own Residence78.6%
Rent Residence19.0%
Own Car(s)74.8%
Submissions
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23/04/01 NG Email:
Even in 1997, there was not much of a swing away from the Tories here in true blue East Devon and it would take an electoral earthquake and a lot of tactical voting (on the scale of the Romsey by-election) to unseat the Conservatives this time.

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Last Updated 23 April 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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