Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Torridge and West Devon

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
David G. Brenton
Conservative Party:
Geoffrey Cox
Liberal Democratic Party:
John P.A. Burnett
Green Party:
Martin Quinn
UK Independence Party:
Robert Edwards

Incumbent:
John Burnett

97 Result:
David Brenton
7,31912.4%
Ian Liddell-Grainge
22,78738.5%
John Burnett
24,74441.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
59,14577.91%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,7489.5%
28,45847.1%
25,18741.7%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
60,39581.2%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.8%
16-2410.9%
25-3918.5%
40-6528.9%
65 <22.8%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.6%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.2%

Employment:
Full Time49.9%
Part Time16.1%
Self Employed24.8%
Government Schemes1.6%
Unemployed7.6%

Household SEG:
I - Professional5.3%
II - Managerial/Technical35.6%
III - Skilled (non-manual)9.0%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)29.2%
IV - Partly Skilled14.1%
V - Unskilled4.0%

Misc:
Own Residence75.8%
Rent Residence21.0%
Own Car(s)78.8%
Submissions
Submit Information here

18/04/01 NG Email:
It was a rather symbolic moment for the Lib Dems (and particularly Tory defector Emma Nicholson whose seat this had been) when they won Torridge and West Devon in 1997. The party faces a bit of a struggle to hold it at this election with a poor showing in the European elections to contend with. However, the Lib Dems have long been reasonably strong here and as long as they can squeeze the Labour vote a little, stand quite a reasonable chance of holding on for another term. But the Tory threat here is strong and if there is a general swing to the Tories in the South West, Torridge and West Devon could be one of a number of Tories gain on election night.
02/05/01 Sean Fear Email:fear_sean@hotmail.com
The Conservatives should take this. The Labour vote is already so low it is unlikely to fall further. Local and European election results in 1999 were extremely encouraging for the Conservatives. The issues of Europe and rural problems should aid the Tories.
03/06/01 PSR Email:
Apart from Cumbria this is the foot-and-mouth constituency. Having been in the area once recently and smelt the burning pyres, I know that the Tories could capitalize on the bitterness felt here. However, John Burnett is both popular and conservative minded (mildly Euro-sceptic)and could hang on. It's going to be close!

Submit Information here
Back to South West Index
Back to British General Election Prediction Index
Last Updated 6 June 2001
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

Email Webmaster