Election Prediction Project
British General Election

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Labour Party:
Thomas Wildy
Conservative Party:
Anthony D. Steen
Liberal Democratic Party:
Rachel C. Oliver
UK Independence Party:
Craig Mackinlay

Anthony Steen

97 Result:
Victor Ellery
Anthony Steen
Rob Chave
Total Vote Count / Turnout

92 Result: (Redistributed)
Total Vote Count / Turnout

Demographic Profile:
< 1617.7%
65 <26.9%

Ethnic Origin:
Other non-white0.3%

Full Time47.9%
Part Time17.4%
Self Employed24.7%
Government Schemes1.5%

Household SEG:
I - Professional4.0%
II - Managerial/Technical36.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)26.6%
IV - Partly Skilled14.4%
V - Unskilled4.6%

Own Residence74.8%
Rent Residence23.1%
Own Car(s)74.6%
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23/04/01 NG Email:
It's going to be a close-run contest here in Totnes. The Lib Dems have had their eye on this one for a while and with Anthony Steen defending a wafer-thin majority, their challenge might just come off if they can persuade a handful of Labour voters over to their side. It's not going to be an easy win for either the Lib Dems or the Tories and it may come down to a nail-biting finish ...
24/04/01 JR Email:
Anthony Steen is a survivor - he used to be MP for Liverpool Wavertree (which was a safe Tory seat going into the Eighties, but Steen saw the Tories electoral armageddon coming on Merseyside). He audaciously crossed the country on a long distance chicken run to get himself selected here for the 1983 election.
29/04/01 CM Email:
Anthony Steen will hold on here. He won in 1997, despite the intervention of an independent Conservative who took 5% of his vote. The Tories have done exceptionally well in local elections since 97, taking control of the local council. In the Euro elections, the Tories won comfortably, pushing the Lib Dems into 4th place(and not that far away from 5th!).
29/04/01 Mat Bowles Email:
Your figures do not take into account the "local Conservative" candidate who stood in protest at Steen. Steen is not well liked in the constituency, and thus makes it more possible that the Lib Dems will take the seat. The 'swing' required is greater, but a lot depends on how the "anti-Steen" vote pans out.
12/05/01 N Starling Email:
You forget that Totnes is a Lib Dem "Target". This means that as a constituency the local Lib Dems will be delivering the same sort of campaign the Lib Dem managed in Romsey. Steen is not as popular as some people like to imagine, whilst quoting the 1999 Euro results is like comparing chalk and cheese. In 1994 the Lib Dems came 4th in the "Highland" Euro seat, yet in 1997 they won 4 parliamentary seats out of 7 in this area in 1997.
23/05/01 MH Email:
As a recent economist article profiled this seat as very close. The Lib Dems have brought in an excellent candidate in Rachel Oliver and a very professional campaign team who know how to beat the Tories. This one is turning yellow.
05/06/01 ASM Email:amackintosh@wsatkins.co.uk
I was on holiday down here last week and passed through this area a couple of times. The Lib Dem poster display is more impressive than any other constituency I saw and easily beats the Conservatives. I will be watching this one on Thursday night.

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Last Updated 5 June 2001
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