Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Swansea West

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Rt. Hon. Alan J. Williams
Conservative Party:
Margaret Harper
Liberal Democratic Party:
Michael Day
Plaid Cymru:
Ian R. Titherington
Green Party:
Martyn J. Shrewsbury
UK Independence Party:
Richard Lewis
Socialist Alliance:
Alec Thraves

Incumbent:
Rt Hon Alan Williams

97 Result:
Alan Williams
22,74856.2%
Andrew Baker
8,28920.5%
John Newbury
5,87214.5%
Dai Lloyd
26756.61%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
40,46968.94%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
23,23853.0%
13,76031.4%
4,62010.5%
1,6683.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
43,85073.0%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1618.2%
16-2412.7%
25-3919.3%
40-6527.3%
65 <22.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White97.0%
Black0.3%
Indian/Pakistani1.2%
Other non-white1.5%

Employment:
Full Time59.3%
Part Time16.0%
Self Employed9.9%
Government Schemes2.1%
Unemployed12.7%

Household SEG:
I - Professional7.7%
II - Managerial/Technical31.3%
III - Skilled (non-manual)13.5%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)24.4%
IV - Partly Skilled13.4%
V - Unskilled5.4%

Misc:
Own Residence64.3%
Rent Residence34.6%
Own Car(s)60.8%
Submissions
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18/05/01 M. A. Price Email:maprice@coastnet.com
Williams has held this seat since the Harold Wilson years (1964). There probably isn't a person in Britain who honestly thinks this will change.

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Last Updated 20 May 2001
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