Election Prediction Project
www.electionprediction.org
British General Election
Vale of York

Current Prediction:
Election Profile:

Candidates:
Labour Party:
Christopher Jukes
Conservative Party:
Anne C.B. McIntosh
Liberal Democratic Party:
Gregory Stone

Incumbent:
Anne McIntosh

97 Result:
Matthew Carter
14,09426.5%
Ann McIntosh
23,81544.7%
Charles Hall
12,65623.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
53,26576.01%

92 Result: (Redistributed)
5,83711.1%
31,85460.6%
14,62627.8%
Total Vote Count / Turnout
52,56480.9%

Demographic Profile:
Age:
< 1619.4%
16-2411.8%
25-3921.2%
40-6529.0%
65 <18.5%

Ethnic Origin:
White99.5%
Black0.1%
Indian/Pakistani0.1%
Other non-white0.3%

Employment:
Full Time61.0%
Part Time17.6%
Self Employed16.6%
Government Schemes0.9%
Unemployed3.9%

Household SEG:
I - Professional6.6%
II - Managerial/Technical38.1%
III - Skilled (non-manual)11.8%
IIIM - Skilled (manual)21.5%
IV - Partly Skilled12.9%
V - Unskilled3.2%

Misc:
Own Residence74.0%
Rent Residence19.5%
Own Car(s)82.3%
Submissions
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09/05/01 Disraeli Email:
The Tories won comfortably here in 1997; they will likely do the same again.

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Last Updated 9 May 2001
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© 1999-2001 Milton Chan

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