Election Prediction Project
Projet D'Élection Prévision

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New Brunswick/Nouveau-Brunswick 2003
Provincial Election 2003 Élections provinciales

Grand Lake

Update/Mise à jour:
12:23 PM 5/21/2003

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
12:23 PM 5/21/2003


Constituency Profile
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Candidates/candidats:
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Progressive Conservative
Progressiste-conservateur:
David Jordan
Liberal/Libéral:
Eugene McGinley
NDP/NPD:

MLA/Le député:
DAVID JORDAN

Federal MP/députés fédéral:
2000 Federal Election Prediction
Fundy-Royal
John Herron
Fredericton
Hon. Andy Scott

1999 Result/Résultats:

Dave Charles Jordan
3,769

Doug Tyler
3,245

Phyllis MacLean
384

Murray C. Barton
223



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19/05/03 Brad Smith
Email: bmrsmith@hotmail.com
Jordan will be hurt by the hospital situation. This will likely be the defining factor is a Liberal win. (Eventhough NB Coal is still going)
18/05/03 jimmy
Email:
This seat should be easy Liberal. Incompotent MLA David Jordan who is laughed at for sand-gate and not despised for the QN Hospital ER closure will be out with the bath water. Liberal candidate is Gene McGinley. He was popular around the province in opposition in the 70s/80s and never forgot his roots in Grand Lake where he was born and raised, visited often and now has returned to since retirement several years back.
15/05/03 Irish Observer
Email:
Strong strong strong Liberal candidate. Formerly from Bathurst (served as MLA there for 8 years or so), strong organization, and a great deal of resentment towards the current government b/c of health care and auto insurance. Liberal win in the 1000 vote range. Usually a bellweather riding for province, but not this time.
15/05/03 syllap
Email: sylapointe@hotmail.com
David Jordan would normally be in trouble in this seat, but why in the world did the Liberal bring back Eugene McGingley, former mla for Bathurst in the 70's out of the moth balls is a mystery to me, PC victory because of Liberal stupidity.....
05/05/03 Patrick Webber
Email:
This seat was a tight race in 1999 (the PC's won by about 500 votes), and it should go Liberal in 2003. A combination of anger over auto insurance rates and the Minto hospital issue should push the Liberals to victory here.



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