Election Prediction Project
Projet D'Élection Prévision


Québec 2003
Provincial Election/Élection Provinciale


Update/Mise à jour:
9:56 AM 3/26/2003

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
2:31 PM 2/2/2003

Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

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Parti Québecois:
Mathieu Breault
Parti libéral/Liberal Party:
Lawrence S Bergman
Action démocratique:
Éric Duhaime

MNAs/Les députés:
Lawrence S. Bergman

Federal MP/députés fédéral:
2000 Federal Election Prediction
Mount Royal
Irwin Cotler

1998 Result/Résultats:

Lawrence S. Bergman
29065 90.61%

Bernard King
1397 4.36%

Jean-Claude Gaudette
1002 3.12%

Number of electors
Nombre d'électeurs



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24/03/03 Grizz
Lets see...the ONLY riding in Quebec with a Jewish majority (the rest being largely Italian), who happen to be relativly affluent. They also happen to be a people with a long memory. I'm certain they all remember Parizeau's "money and ethnic" speach. They also probably remember how he tried to "clarify" his comments by saying, that specifically the ethnic groups he meant were the Jews, Italians and Greeks (how to win friends and influence people, eh Jacques?). As for the ADQ, this riding has an aged population (read: set in their ways) and aren't likely to vote for a new party. Besides they know where Mr. Dumont sat in the '95 referendum. Given all that, Liberal win with a MINIMUM 85% of the vote.
24/02/03 Peter Misiaszek
Email: letstalk@sympatico.ca
You could run a dead skunk here as a Liberal and it would still win. D'arcy McGee is perhaps the safest of any riding in the whole country - federal or provincial. The margins of victory are so outrageous here that the toughest race for any Liberal candidate is the nomination meeting. Victory their is almost as good as winning Lotto 6/49.
30/01/03 Jeff
Comme plusieurs circonscriptions de l'Ouest de Montréal, château-fort libéral. Si on exclut la courte période du Parti Égalité (vote de protestation des anglophones), 85 à 90% des votes lors des 4 dernières élections et probablement même avant. Ni le PQ, ni l'ADQ ne pourront renverser ce vote.
30/01/03 syllap
Another anglo riding, no contest give it to the Liberals.....

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