Election Prediction Project
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Sackville-Eastern Shore
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
11:48 PM 6/22/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
1:55 AM 17/03/2004

Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription

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Green Party/Parti Vert:
David Fullerton
PC Party/Parti PC:
Greg Moors
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Dale Stevens
Peter Stoffer
Steve Streatch

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Dartmouth (7.7%)
Wendy Lill
Halifax West (14.0%)
Hon. Geoff Regan
Sackville-Musquodoboit Valley-Eastern Shore (78.3%)
Peter Stoffer

2000 Result/Résultats:
12,886 35.90%
11,866 33.06%
6,459 18.00%
4,161 11.59%
519 1.45%

(19/188 polls, 4630/61542 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

Halifax West
(21/223 polls, 8378/76789 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

Sackville-Musquodoboit Valley-Eastern Shore
(146/218 polls, 46850/63567 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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20/06/04 David R.
Email: [hidden]
Stoffer is as close as we can get to an honest politician. The Streatch Campaign has focussed on Stoffer and thrown as much dirt and innuedo as they can, which only attracts attention to Streatch's own weaknesses: a reliance on an 'old' PC family tradition, and limited personal experience to draw on. Look at what Streatch claims for achievements. When searching for Streatch on Google I notice that a local church does not hesitate to point out financial conficts of interest between the Streatch family and HRM where Streatch is deputy mayor. Dale Stevens could be anybody: the liberals have shot themselves in the foot here. Stoffer will increase his majority yet again.
15/06/04 Toasty
Stoffer is hugely popular in this riding, even after redistribution. Un-seating him would be a massive feat, and I don't think any of the challengers are up to the task!
12/06/04 E. MacKenzie
Email: [hidden]
Stoffer won't have any trouble here; he's popular locally, benefits from redistribution by losing some traditionally Conservative areas, and in a weak Liberal year may even pick up votes from disillusioned Grits. No contest.
16/04/04 Colin Pye
Email: [hidden]
Redistribution can only help Peter Stoffer here. The Musquodobit Valley has been moved into Bill Casey's North Nova, and a part of the Eastern Shore into Peter MacKay's Central Nova. With those two solidly Conservative areas gone, and Stoffer's personal popularity, the NDP will hold this seat handily.
17/03/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
Peter Stoffer has become quite popular in his riding. Couple that with nice poll numbers for the NDP and favorable redistribution and we can expect him back in Ottawa.
16/03/04 JRFD
Email: [hidden]
Peter Stoffer is legendary for how he turned this initially marginal NDP seat into his for the keeping. Stoffer knows the people here and what they want from their member. He also benefits from having a significant amount of the rural areas stripped from his riding. He's extremely popular and could run a clinic on how to get re-elected.
16/03/04 Mike D
Email: mdavis@hfx.andara.com
Never underestimate Peter Stoffer. He has already won two elections he was not supposed to win, according to some pundits. Redistribution has taken out rural areas, turning a 700 vote margin of victory into an edge of over 1050 votes (electionscanada.ca). Rock solid NDP.
16/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Peter Stoffer is popular here. He won in 1997 by one of the slimmest margins in canadian history, capturing only 32.5% of the vote. Since then he has become popular in Nova Scotia, and in the NDP as a whole. A self-described "11:30 New Democrat" Stoffer is very moderate, and argubally, he would fit easily into the Liberal Party. Liberals who dont like the Liberals will vote NDP here, and Stoffer will win by a wide margin.

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