Projet D'Élection Prévision
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Hochelaga
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale
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Update/Mise à jour: 6:41 PM 6/26/2004 
Prediction Changed La prévision a changé 9:17 PM 18/03/2004 |
Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription
Candidates/candidats:
(Links? See sponsorship details.)
(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
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Conservatives/Conservateurs: Mario Bernier | ||||||
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Communist: Pierre Bibeau | ||||||
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Liberal Party/Parti libéral: Benoit Bouvier | ||||||
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Green Party/Parti Vert: Rolf Bramann | ||||||
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Marxist-Leninist: Christine Dandenault | ||||||
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N.D.P./N.P.D.: David Gagnon | ||||||
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Bloc Québécois: Réal Ménard | ||||||
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Parti Marijuana Party: Antoine Théorêt-Poupart | ||||||
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Incumbents/Les députés: | |||||||
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Hochelaga-Maisonneuve (89.1%) Réal Ménard | ||||||
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Laurier-Sainte-Marie (10.9%) Gilles Duceppe | ||||||
2000 Result/Résultats:
| Redistributed | ||
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21,884 | 50.52% |
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15,459 | 35.69% |
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1,745 | 4.03% |
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1,455 | 3.36% |
| 2,775 | 6.41% | |
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve (189/214 polls, 69870/75771 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 14045 | |
| 19591 | |
| 1351 | |
 | 718 | |
| 1611 | |
| 1631 | ||
Laurier-Sainte-Marie (26/210 polls, 8509/78885 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 1414 | |
| 2293 | |
| 104 | |
| 122 | |
| 134 | |
| 304 | ||
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24/06/04 | F.C. Email: [hidden] | |
| The upper part of the riding, closer to former St. Leonard usually votes on the federalist side...but it makes no difference whatsoever, the Bloc will always win this riding due to the tremendous support they get south of Sherbrooke Street. | |||
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13/05/04 | Stéphane Gaudet Email: [hidden] | |
| Très francophone, cette circonscription souverainiste demeurera une forteresse bloquiste. Victoire très prévisible de Réal Ménard. | |||
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27/03/04 | Victor A. Email: hombresvic@hotmail.com | |
| Hochelaga is a rather poor district, eastwards from downtown. It is almost completly francophone and for you, people from B.C. this is what comes the closest to Vancouver East. If this riding was not in Québec, it would be very NDP-ish. There is also a rather high number of gay & lesbian people there, since the riding is just east of the Mtl gay village, and that is yet another advantage for the BQ canadiate Réal Ménard. If there was no sponsorship scandal and no unpopular PLQ, the liberals would have had a chance but only with an above average candidate. Now, it's lost cause. | |||
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20/03/04 | thebigape2000@hotmail.com Email: Bear and Ape | |
| The heartland of the seperatist movement on the Island of Montreal, the Liberals have as much of a chance here (at the best of times) as the NDP does in Calgary Center. | |||
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17/03/04 | Patrick Webber Email: [hidden] | |
| Prior to the sponsorship scandal and the subsequent jump in Bloc Quebecois fortunes, I would have considered this seat as one of many Montreal ridings that could fall to the Liberals. Now that the Bloc is polling at levels not seen since the 1993 election, Bloc incumbent Real Menard should hold on to this seat quite easily. | |||
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17/03/04 | RWA Email: radams2@uwo.ca | |
| The Bloc won comfortably here in 2000 and their recent resurgance in the polls makes almost all incumbant Bloc MPs safe. | |||
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