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Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
6:52 PM 6/26/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
9:21 PM 18/03/2004

Constituency Profile
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Bloc Québécois:
Marie-Hélène Brunet
Garnet Colly
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Theodore Kouretas
Parti Marijuana Party:
Jean-François Labrecque
Danielle Lustgarten
Andrea Paine
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Bernard Patry

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Pierrefonds-Dollard (100.0%)
Bernard Patry

2000 Result/Résultats:
35,509 72.99%
5,239 10.77%
3,122 6.42%
2,732 5.62%
2,046 4.21%

(181/204 polls, 72884/79962 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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24/06/04 Stéphane Gaudet
Email: [hidden]
La défusion étant chose faite, c'est maintenant le retour au "business as usual" dans le West Island. Donc, victoire libérale.
20/06/04 Neal
Email: nealford@sympatico.ca
Even though I have clicked on the Conservative logo, I am not calling this riding for them just yet. However, It would certainly seem as if this riding is now in play. The anger at the Liberals has even spread to Quebec.
Given that time is now at a premium, and Mr Harper has to prioritize his travels, he has just announced that he will visit Pierreefonds-Dollard on Thurs. June 17th, which should indicate that the Conservatives see this riding as vulnerable in their quest to gain some Quebec representation.
Let's not forget, this riding was Tory from 1984-1993.
21/04/04 Neal
Email: nealford@sympatico.ca
If we have a spring election, I think Patry could be in some trouble since most people, myself included, will be focussed rather on the demerger referendum, than an election that most people deem a foregone conclusion at least in our riding. This is to say many people who would vote Liberal, and donate their time to the cause of re-election, will be more focussed on demerger, and the people who will turn out in droves to vote federally will be the ones who are hell bent on turfing the Liberals.
I am glad to hear that memories are fading on Gerry Weiner. Suffice it to say, I had the misfortune of meeting him while I was a student at Vanier, and his rudeness was unbelievable. I would not want to see him as MP ever again, ditto for his former assistant Neil Drabkin.
Any chance the Conservatives might have, limited as they are, would be contingent on their recruiting a quality candidate who is supported financially to the tune of $10-20 000.00 minimum, and would be helped, as stated earlier, by a Spring election.
The Conservative riding association is approaching, and may by now have surpassed 250 members, so the making s of an organization are there. Meanwhile, the Liberal association had about 900 Members in 2000. I don't know how many they have today, but under the right circumstances a Conservative win is possible. This is something we could not have said before Adscam and the merger.
19/04/04 Victor A.
Email: hombresvic@hotmail.com
First up Neal, I barely recognized the name of Weiner and when I asked my family and friends about the guy they had no clue who he was and believe me my family is pretty up-to-date when it comes to politics.
Weiner’s popularity is virtually non-existent I think, maybe except for the gray hair crowd, LOL :)
I have no opinion of him to put it mildly but his switch from PC Party to Alliance for the 2000 election when the Alliance ‘was supposed’ to conquer Eastern Canada was in my opinion so low that the PC should not even consider him as a potential candidate. Weiner is a typical opportunist that was not able to benefit from the political trends when he was a candidate. Furthermore, our riding is one with the largest mobility on the island of Montreal, so most people have no idea about or no interest in getting to know local politicians. If you look at the growth of Dollard-des-Ormeaux and parts of Pierrefonds recently you can see that there is a substantial growth of population from outside the riding and that’s why my point is that the historical results will not matter here. Patry is pretty dull but comparing to a ( possible ) BQ student, some PC religious extremist from the XVI-th century and an NDP leftist, he will be the one to get over 75 % here.
08/04/04 Neal
Email: nealford@sympatico.ca
Victor, I live hee too, and think that because Patry is so weak, he could be vulnerable IF the Tories were to come up with a good candidate.
At this point, from what I'm hearing, that is unlikely (possible appointed candidate from HQ).
One other piece of grist from the rumour mill: It's possible that former MP & Mulroney cabmin Gerry Weiner may be waiting in the wings for a comeback....So the story goes, should the Conservatives win, Harper would appoint Weiner to the Senate seat being vacated later this year by Sen. Leo Kolberwhich would vault Weiner into a cabinet post much in the way that Sen. Jacques Flynn was a Cabmin in the Clark fiasco-er-government.
To build on that, I submit that should the cancer of Adscam continue to fester, the party MIGHT just shell out the dough, and put Mr Weiner in as the candidate, since beacuse Patry is so uninspiring, this seat becomes possibly winnable.
The big question is, would Gerry Weiner be remembered by enough people for his stint as MP and mayor to give him the jump start needed to unseat Patry?
Time will tell.
Liberals have the edge on organization alone.
27/03/04 Victor A.
Email: hombresvic@hotmail.com
This is the riding where I live.
It's a West Island riding, majority of anglophones ( of many ethnic orginins ) living here. Most of the riding is upper middle-class. The north-eastern part is however very poor. Even with a rather unexciting candidate as Dr. Patry, there is just no way any other party could grab over 15 % votes here.
17/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
The margin of victory here was mind-boggeling. The Liberals will repeat
17/03/04 Matt
Email: [hidden]
West Island Montreal. End of story. Liberal hold.

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