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Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale
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Update/Mise à jour: 8:56 PM 6/25/2004 
Prediction Changed La prévision a changé 7:53 PM 18/03/2004 |
Constituency Profile
Profil de circonscription
Candidates/candidats:
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Christian Héritage Chrétien: Tim Bloedow | ||||||
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Liberal Party/Parti libéral: Don Boudria | ||||||
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N.D.P./N.P.D.: Martin Cauvier | ||||||
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Green Party/Parti Vert: Roy Fjarlie | ||||||
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Conservatives/Conservateurs: Alain Lalonde | ||||||
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Incumbents/Les députés: | |||||||
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Glengarry-Prescott-Russell (100.0%) Hon. Don Boudria | ||||||
2000 Result/Résultats:
| Redistributed | ||
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29,246 | 68.36% |
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7,831 | 18.30% |
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3,622 | 8.47% |
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1,767 | 4.13% |
| 319 | 0.75% | |
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell (185/198 polls, 69089/73147 voters) 2000 Prediction/Complete Results | ||
| 29246 | |
| 7831 | |
| 1767 | |
| 3622 | |
| 319 | ||
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24/06/04 | Email: youngreformers@yahoo.ca | |
| Don Boudria should've, could've and would've won this riding but Paul Martin made a jackass out of him and his party, since Jean Chretien isn't running this one, Boudria will have a tussle with Tory Alain Lalonde, who may surprise all on how many anti-corruption, not anti-Liberal, votes are out there to get. Even though Glengarry-Prescott-Russell is the Don's to lose, he may very well have lost it, especially with that huge Francophone vote. A riding where Same Sex Marriage went far on the truly devout Roman Catholics, the Christian Heritage candidate was an outspoken opponent to the change in status of union so keep an eye here as it may be the highest total per riding for the CHP. | |||
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12/06/04 | canrocks Email: [hidden] | |
| I think that this election would be closer than ever, but the fact is that Boudria is untouchable. I live in the far west end of the riding, which is one of essentially two anglophone areas. Of all the signs I've seen, 90% were tory (although I use the word tory loosely) and maybe 10% were grit. Of all the tory signs, most of them have been lawn signs, meaning the people in my end really want change. The thing is, we're in the minority. Most of the people in the riding are francophone, and they want a francophone candidate that has a PARTY that will defend the french. They'd probably vote Bloc if they had a candidate here. | |||
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06/06/04 | One Conservative Email: [hidden] | |
| After visiting eastern Ontario this weekend I would have to say that the anger that people have towards the Liberals is very strong in Prescott Russell, people might not want to publicly say anything against Don but it's all I heard about, Alain is a great candidate and would represent this riding well. People are in a punishing mood and poor Don will get the brunt of it. | |||
| 03/06/04 | Mike Wakefield Email: [hidden] | ||
| For what it's worth, co-workers who live in the northwest of this riding report that many Boudria signs fall into one of four categories: "rare" on lawns, "defaced", "destroyed" or "inverted" on public property. | |||
| 01/06/04 | A.S. Email: adma@interlog.com | ||
| Here's a shocker--I'm willing to gamble *no* prediction here. In any previous election, that would've been daft; Don Boudria was as good as in. The heart of the heavily Franco-Ontarian 417 belt, it's always been one of those score of safest-Liberal-seats in the country. But...not this time? Every so often, there's a Liberal upset-of-the-century; C. D. Howe, David Dingwall, etc. This time, I wouldn't be surprised if *Boudria* is booted out. After all, he's the biggest remaining symbol of Chretien-era Liberal grime; and on locals, especially in an atmosphere of mass disgust at Grit scandal, that's got to hurt. And factor in, too, the palpable C21 rightward swing in Eastern Ontario (including the shocking 2000 close call for Bob Kilger next door)--the kind that motivates a Walter Robinson to run in hitherto assumed "safe Liberal under almost any circumstance" ridings; who says that the momentum can't even swing *here*? If they're angry at Boudria and the Liberals, they got to go *somewhere*--and that, in all likelihood (barring a 1997 New Brunswickesque "NDP Acadia" situation) will be falling in with the other CPCward dominoes around it. Especially if Catholics follow their social convictions rather than "tradition" (as they've done in much of Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke). It's a safer possibility than it's been in a looong time--including the 1984 Mulroney landslide. And the Tory candidate, who ran provincially here in '99, is a credible one with local governmental experience. But note: I'm not gambling a Tory prediction, I'm gambling *no* prediction... | |||
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22/04/04 | Mike Wakefield Email: [hidden] | |
| Apparently all is not sweetness and light down on the farm. I work with a few residents of this riding, and they point to general unhappiness with Don Boudria's silence and inaction on the agriculture file, among other issues, and the relatively low voter turnout last election as warning signs that this riding may not belong in the "Liberal Fortress" category anymore. Not enough to make me change my prediction ... yet ... | |||
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20/03/04 | Bear and Ape Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com | |
| No questions asked, this is a solid Liberal riding. It would take an obliteration of the Liberals (a la the 93 elections for the PC) in order for this riding to go something other than red. | |||
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19/03/04 | Christopher J. Currie Email: 8cjc1@qlink.queensu.ca | |
Here's a bit of trivia for those interested: the "Russell" section of this constituency holds the record for longest continual representation by the Liberal Party within Canada. Remarkable as this may sound, the area has been Liberal since *1887*, having stayed loyal through the reciprocity election, the bully-pulpit Unionism of 1917, and the sweeps of Diefenbaker and Mulroney. Don't bet on the pattern changing any time soon. | |||
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17/03/04 | Patrick Webber Email: [hidden] | |
| This is Don Boudria's seat, meaning that it is going nowhere but Liberal on election night. | |||
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17/03/04 | BP Email: [hidden] | |
| Don Boudria is hugely popular and the riding is a safe Liberal seat. He will win a strong majority. | |||
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17/03/04 | RWA Email: radams2@uwo.ca | |
| Don Boudria is sitting in the safest Liberal riding in Eastern Ontario. Even if his margin of victory diminishes significantly, he'll hold on to this seat. | |||
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17/03/04 | Mike Wakefield Email: [hidden] | |
| Don Boudria shows every sign of running again, and if he runs, he'll win. | |||
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17/03/04 | Nick Boragina Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com | |
| The Party could elect anyone here, and Boudria could win against anybody. A Liberal VS Boudria election could be interesting, but with both on the same side, the victory is assured. | |||
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