Election Prediction Project
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Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

Update/Mise à jour:
1:21 PM 6/18/2004

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
1:38 AM 17/03/2004

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Mel Kositsky
Green Party/Parti Vert:
Patrick Meyer
Dean Morrison
Liberal Party/Parti libéral:
Kim Richter
Mark Warawa

Population 2001
Number of electors 2000
Nombre d'électeurs

Incumbents/Les députés:
Langley-Abbotsford (74.7%)
Randy White
South Surrey-White Rock-Langley (25.3%)
Val Meredith

2000 Result/Résultats:
31,893 68.31%
7,986 17.11%
3,870 8.29%
2,341 5.01%
597 1.28%

(133/212 polls, 51317/82822 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

South Surrey-White Rock-Langley
(52/190 polls, 17371/70771 voters)
2000 Prediction/Complete Results

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15/06/04 E Anderson
Email: [hidden]
Wayne Smith is obviously trying to paint the entire riding of Langley with the same brush- but missing the canvas entirely....Obviously proving how close-minded he himself is with the view of the people of this Langley riding. Don't forget these are the same people who were fed up of the scandal-plagued Langley Leadership Team and kicked long-time (religious) Mayor John Scholtens to the curb in favour of current mayor Kurt Alberts just a few years ago. This is an electorate that knows when they see something they don't like...the Liberal Sponsorship scandal and western alienation will keep the votes Conservative here...plus Kim Richter only helps send votes their way with her less than stellar municipal record. They'll go conservative in Langely- only because the other parties have failed to run viable candidates.
Don't forget the massive residential development in this riding since 2000, in the areas of Murrayville, Walnut Grove and most recently Willoughby....bringing a population influx from areas closer to Vancouver. This ain't the Langely you grew up in Wayne.
12/06/04 DT
Email: poli_junkie@yahoo.ca
With the horrible performance by Mark Warawa in the debates and the recent news that Randy White had told the Conservative nomination meeting crowd that "When we form the government, there will be no more abortions. And when we form the government, there will be no same-sex marriage" this town is going to turn sharply to the only women candidate, Kim Richter.
25/05/04 Wayne Smith
Email: Bumblefist@shaw.ca
Although I will not be voting Conservative, but rather for the Green Party of Canada in the upcomming federal election, I do predict a win by the Conservatives simply because I grew up in Langley and have a fair understanding of the mindset of the general population of Langley versus other areas of the province that I have lived in periodically over the last ten years. Langley is a very convienent place to live. It is an ideal place to raise a family and settle down since it has everything that people need in such a relatively small area and because of this, it seems that many of the people who grow up in Langley have little reason to ever leave Langley and experience the outside world. This leads to a population of relatively closed minded people, who shy away from anything that is unfamiliar to them or involves change. I believe this is why the Conservative Party is so popular in Langley. They appeal to these types of sentiments in people and helps them feel comfortable knowing that they will have someone in Ottawa who will fight to keep their simple, familiar world safe from change and new ideas.
23/05/04 Keith R
Email: [hidden]
I can't see Kim Richter having a hope here. Her record in local politics is distasteful to say the least. Langley has never had an appetite for the NDP. Warawa is true blue conservative and will win this in a walk, even though he is a parachute candidate.
04/05/04 DT
Email: [hidden]
First of all Randy White and Val Meredith have had 11 years to do something for Langley and the haven't. We need a railway overpass and neither has done a thing about it.
Second Mark Warawa might as well call himself Randy Lite because he doesn't have any of his own ideas; all he is doing is running on the coat tails of Randy White.
Third this is the first election that Langley will be it's own riding, without the overwhelming populations of Surrey and Abbotsford leading federal money away from Langley. So the question becomes why would Langley vote for a candidate from Abbotsford when the Liberal candidate is a Langley Township Councillor?
The riding may be conservative but Langley will vote for one of their own this time.
26/03/04 Ryan B. Warawa
Email: france@pacificcoast.net
Langley was a riding held by the PC's, before Randy White and Val Merideth won for the Reform Party in 1993. With the Conservatives being the incumbant party in the riding, I believe that Conservative Candidate Mark Warawa will take this riding with over 50% of the vote.
23/03/04 Ian King
Email: vancouverscrum@myrealbox.com
Mark Warawa cleared his biggest hurdle when he took the Conservative nomination. That's all you've gotta do to get elected in this distant suburb that feels more kinship with the strongly religious communities up the Valley than the godless heathens of Vancouver.
16/03/04 P. Kelly
Email: [hidden]
True Blue conservative area. There is little chance the conservatives could lose here, unless there was an even more right-wing party to choose from. Conservative hold.
16/03/04 Objective Observer
Email: objectiveobserver2004@yahoo.ca
Another traditional conservative seat in the Fraser Valley, Langley will probably continue along the same lines and vote CPC.
15/03/04 RWA
In 2000, the combined conservative vote was over 75%. Mark this in the Tory column.

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