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Federal Election - 2004 - élection générale

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31/03/04 Bernard
Email: [hidden]
The Sun says Martin will be appointed Cunningham as the candidate. This will loss the Liberals votes. This is dream decision for Svend, the Liberals taint themselves as undemocratic before the election is even called.
In fact the whole deciding to appoint candidates in BC is going to harm the Liberal party in the areas where they are weak. BC has a strong populist streak (witness many of our premiers) and this appoinment process of candidates is what turns people off of the Federal Liberal party.
27/03/04 Nick Boragina
Email: kee_empire@hotmail.com
Svend Robinson is hated by those outside the party, and there are even party members who dont like him, yet for some reason, this riding keeps electing him by narrow margins. This riding has proven before that the Liberals and Conservatives cannot come togethor to beat the NDP candidate, and it will just prove the same again this time. Remember, after losing his attempt at a seat in his home Saskatchewan, Tommy Douglass ran and won here. It is likely that if Layton cannot win Toronto-Danforth, he can win Burnaby-Douglas.
26/03/04 Bernard
Email: [hidden]
Any remaining glimmer the Liberals had in this riding has been killed when the party forced the front runner to leave the race to allow party's BC pres to run instead.
People in BC HATE party brass mucking in the nomination process.
26/03/04 Vortigern
Email: [hidden]
Svend wasn't knocked off in 1993, or in 2000. On both occasions, he was faced with a weak federal campaign, a marginal leader, and an unpopular provincial party. None of those factors are in play this time, and he remains an excellent MP.
In short, if he didn't go down then, he won't now.
24/03/04 Tim Morgan
Email: [hidden]
If the election was held today, Svend Robinson would win this easily. No doubt about it. I don't know how anyone can predict a BC election. There are two big unknowns that throw this election result into doubt. Number one, the BC Liberal scandal. When the other shoe drops, will it be worse than the sponsorship scandal? In which case there are 10,000 Liberal votes to get divided up between the NDP and the Conservatives. Which way will they go? What are BC Liberals' second choice? Number two, will the Conservative Party have the same campaign success in BC, that Reform and the Canadian Alliance had? The last 3 elections they picked up major support near the end of the campaign. Can the Conservatives do the same thing?
24/03/04 Al
Email: alnu_cephmiar@yahoo.co.uk
If Svend can suvive the NDP meltdowns of 1993 and 2000 I think he can suvive the likely NDP surge in 2004/5.
Burnaby is one of the most left wing cities in Canada and a traditional stronghold of the NDP (Tommy Douglas used to be the M.P for the this riding) and it is a hotbed of anti-Campbell anger.
Talk of a "united Right" in Burnaby is nonsense, as a lot of the CA's voters from 2000 will (strange as this may seem) vote for Robinson this time around (Reform/CA was never much more than a Western Protest vote here).
23/03/04 Jacob
Email: [hidden]
Svend is perhaps to the left what Daryl Stinson is to the right. He barely won his election in 2000 and now faces a united right. I predict that Svend will get his carcass handed to him on a plate on election night by the Conservatives. And good riddance!
20/03/04 Bernard
Email: [hidden]
Svend is vulnerable (and has been in many elections). Svend will have the fight of his life, much like in 1979, 1993 and 2000 and when he fell on Saltspring.
He has had his riding changed yet again and yet again to areas that are not freindly to him.
Where will the PC votes go? Where they Orchardistas? Will they go to Svend? How much will the Liberal vote fall and how will the Liberal loss of votes split between the NDP and Cons?
Svend can win, but so to can the Conservatives. I suspect the impact will be how much people in the riding like Jack Layton and for the first time Svend may get a vote benefit for being a New Democrat instead of having that work against him.
This riding is not natural NDP country even though Svend has held it since 1979. If they could win ridings like this in Ontario, they would be taking good chunks of 905 country
20/03/04 Ula la
Email: [hidden]
"Raid on the Legislature." Those four words will ensure that Svend sweeps this riding and 20 NDP seats in BC. There is speculation that Justice Dohm will release more information on the search warrants on the BC Legislature on April 1, 2004.
In Dohm's first summary of the search warrants examined ONLY the issue of influence peddling and the sale of BC Rail: information was not released concerning the ORGANIZED CRIME and DRUG accusations. Cunningham claimed that this information exhonerated the Liberals, knowing full well the other shoe hadn't dropped. A little premature-i'd say.
On April 1, Dohm (assuming that he is not Liberal lackey...good luck Paul on calling that election on April 2!) is expected to release more information involving the connections between ORGANIZED CRIME AND DRUGS and Cunninghams's key Liberal political operatives in BC (Basi, Virk and Bornman). Speculation (again) is that Cunningham, as the top dog in the federal Lieberals, orchastrated the bulk purchases of Lieberal memberships for Paul Martin, with tainted BC Bud money. If this information is correct, PM will be lucky to retain Official Party Status, given his party's existing "connections" with Adscam!
19/03/04 Ian King
Email: vancouverscrum@myrealbox.com
Svend Robinson is a survivor. He's won even as the NDP ran disastrously bad camapigns in 1993 and 2000, while hampered by weak leaders and a desperately unpopular provincial government in BC. Robinson has to carry none of that baggage, only his own outspokenness -- and after a quarter-century as MP, the good people of Burnaby have made their peace with that aspect of Svend's. Folks outside the area often aren't aware of either Robinson's reputation as a solid constituency MP, nor of Burnaby's tendency to vote for left-of-centre politicians at all levels of government; instread all they see is that Svend won by less than 2000 in 2000 without considering why the result was the way it was. Burnaby voters will send Svend back to Ottawa for the eighth straight time.
18/03/04 Adam Teiichi Yoshida
Email: ayoshida@fas.harvard.edu
Svend barely won this one last time about. For a few glorious moments it even looked like he might be defeated.
With the rise in the NDP, he'd be able to hold: but the Liberals are running Bill Cunningham in this riding- the President of the Party in this Province. I expect him to run a strong campaign.
17/03/04 Bear and Ape
Email: thebigape2000@hotmail.com
This is Sven's riding and he owns it. A well known and a hard working MP for a party who's fortunes are rising. No surprises here.
17/03/04 MJ
Email: ryan_593@hotmail.com
I think this is Svend's to lose, and he isn't going to lose. If he held on when the NDP plummeted in the early 90s, he's sure as heck going to hold on when they're doing well.
17/03/04 Neal
Email: nealford@sympatico.ca
With a united Conservative Party, and a general fatigue with Svend Robinson's grandstanding the change that came within 1700 votes of happening in 2000 may well comne to pass.... and not a moment too soon.
Faced with the real possibility of actually kicking the Liberals out of office, many voters will go with the Conservative to ensure that happens.
17/03/04 V.D.
Email: bench_breaker@hotmail.com
Svend survived his biggest challenge in 2000, he'll be around forever now with the rising NDP fortunes.
16/03/04 Mike D
Email: [hidden]
Svend Robinson is a political survivor. He's been re-elected during much worse elections for the NDP. Very good at paying attention to his riding, I hear.
16/03/04 N.C.
Email: nairn@canada.com
Svend is first and foremost a survivor. If the CA could not knock him off in 2000, the new NDP wave of 2004 should sweep him to victory.
16/03/04 P. Kelly
Email: [hidden]
This is the seat of Svend Robinson...there is little else to say
Core NDP seat. If it has voted NDP this far, there is little chance on earth that the NDP will lose it in this election. With the upsurge in polling for the NDP, this one won’t even be close. NDP hold.
16/03/04 Objective Observer
Email: objectiveobserver2004@yahoo.ca
Burnaby-Douglas has been held by Svend Robinson for the past 25 years since the 1979 election. He has managed to hold the seat during the 1990's even with the federal share of the NDP vote falling to 11.3% during the 2000 election. The NDP will most likely increase their share of the federal popular vote in B.C. this time and will also probably retain this seat.
16/03/04 NDP Newbie
Email: [hidden]
The Cons and the Lieberals can spend as much time as they want attacking Svend Robinson with their bigoted lies: There's now way in Hell Svend will lose with a surging NDP.
Email: [hidden]
This is probably the safest NDP seat in BC, save for Vancouver East & Libby Davies. But with polls in the 20's and 30's (double, close to triple the results from 2000), I don't think the NDP has to worry about losing seats in BC.

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