12:27 AM 07/12/2005

Prediction Changed
11:32 PM 03/05/2005
Election Prediction Project

Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Federal Election - 2006

Constituency Profile

(Links? See sponsorship details.)
Bill Casey
N. Bruce Farrell
Gary Richard
Margaret Sagar
Rick Simpson

Bill Casey

2004 Result:
Bill Casey
Dianne Brushett
Margaret E. Sagar
Sheila G. Richardson
Jack Moors

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

Put your political/campaign ad here! See sponsorship details.

02 12 05 Dan
There is no doubt that this riding will again be fall to the Conservative side of the house. However, it is not so much the strength of Casey but the weakness of those who are running against him. Brushett has ran against Casey for many years and always lost yet she still ran time and time again.
03 05 05 Nick Boragina
Casey nearly won here in 1993, when the PCP had their worst election ever. This was the closest non-win for them in the nation. He will win again if he decides to run, and it looks like he will. In 1993, this was the 3rd best tory riding in the nation, it's still one of the strongest, even with their drop in this part of the country.
03 05 05 JC
This is probably the most solid conservative seat in Nova Scotia, Bill Casey will win here and there's no way anyone other then him will win it.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
This is the bible belt of Nova Scotia, so easy Conservative win. Bill Casey is very popular and this is the most Conservative riding in Nova Scotia. He nearly doubled his opponent last time around, so there is no way he will lose this riding no matter what happens between now and the next election.
02 05 05 BrianJA
This one is kind of a no-brainer. Thing is, the riding really isn't extremely conservative. In several provincial constituencies, the NDP come in second in terms of votes. And, for example, in Truro-Bible Hill last time around, the NDP candidate did very well. The main factor here is Bill Casey. Casey is a very popular incumbent and is very well-liked by the riding population. It has the potential to go Liberal, provided the Liberals are doing really well in Nova Scotia. But they're not. So, this one will stay with the kindly old man that it started with. Prediction: Conservative hold with 40%+ of the vote.

Submit Information here

Provincial Index
Federal Election - 2006
Election Prediction Project - www.electionprediction.com
© Milton Chan, 1999-2005 - Email Webmaster