Update/Mise à jour:
2:48 PM 26/12/2005

Prediction Changed
La prévision a changé
11:43 PM 03/05/2005
Election Prediction Project
Projet D'Élection Prévision


New Brunswick Southwest
Federal Election - 2006 - élection générale

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Andrew Graham
Erik Millett
Stan Smith
Greg Thompson

Greg Thompson

2004 Result/Résultats:
Greg Thompson
Jim Dunlap
Patrick Webber
Erik Matthew Millett
David Szemerda

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

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26 12 05 td
Since 1968 this seat has only gone Liberal once and that was in 1993 when most every seat in Eastern Canada went Liberal, that coupled with the personal popularity of Greg Thompson equals a CPC victory here in this riding.
04 05 05 full name
With Elsie Wayne gone, Greg Thompson may be the most popular CPC MP in Atlantic Canada. Strong Tory leanings (this was almost their 3rd riding in 1993) too. Easy win.
03 05 05 Nick Boragina
Thompson nearly won this riding in 1993, despite the PCP being nearly destroyed, if he can do that well in the worst election in tory history, he certainly can do better in this election, where some expect the tories to actually win government. Easy win, one of the safest tory ridings outside of alberta.
03 05 05 PGW
Considering that Greg Thompson won 53% of the vote here in 2004, this should be a safe Conservative seat. Look for a battle between the Liberals and NDP for second place, especially if a high profile candidate runs for the NDP.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
This was the Conservatives' best showing in Atlantic Canada and second best east of the Manitoba/Ontario border. This riding is Conservative in nature, but Greg Thompson's personal popularity will ensure they get in the 50s as opposed to 40s (what they got on average provincially).

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