Mise à jour:
3:53 PM 15/12/2005

La prévision a changé
12:10 AM 03/05/2005
Projet D'Élection Prévision
www.electionprediction.com

Louis-Hébert
2005 - élection générale (Canada)



Profil de circonscription

candidats:
(Liens? Voir les détails de patronage.)
NDP/NPD
Denis Blanchette
Libearl/libéral
Hélène Chalifour Scherrer
Bloc Québécois
Roger Clavet
Independent
Francis Fortin
Conservative/conservateur
Luc Harvey
Green/Vert
Robert Hudon
Christian Heritage
Stefan Jetchick
Independent
Frédérick Têtu

Député:
Roger Clavet

2004 Résultats:
Roger Clavet
24071
Hélène Chalifour Scherrer
18999
Clermont Gauthier
7512
Robert Turcotte
3112
Jean-Pierre Guay
2137

Pour des résultats historiques, voyez svp
2004 Projet D'Élection Prévision




Nous n'aimons pas des films publicitaires non plus, mais quelqu'un doivent payer le loyer.
Remplacez-l'avec votre annonce de campagne ! Voir les détails de patronage

08 12 05 Alex B
Monsieur Clavet n'est pas un candidat particulièrement fort et Louis-Hébert a toujours eu une tendance plutôt fédéraliste, mais les électeurs ne sont probablement pas prêts à redonner le compté à Hélène Scherrer et suivront la vague bloquiste qui emportera tout l'est du Québec.
04 12 05 MK
As an Anglo living in Quebec City I can report that Scherrer is out of the gate first with her signs. Being a CPAC junky (aren't we all who visit this website?) I believe there was news about Scherrer in the last fews days of the 38th Parliament about her being connected to slimy tricks and tomfoolery going on in the Liberal party. I can't see this sitting well here. Bloc win here. I anticipate all seats East of Montreal going Bloc except maybe in the North end of town (Louis-St-Laurent) where Josée Verner is running for the Conservatives, and that is still a long-shot.
02 12 05 M. Lunn
It looks like defeated cabinet minister Helene Scherrer will be trying again. While I would like to see the Liberals re-take this, if the Bloc Quebecois could take down a cabinet minister, last time, you can be sure they will win this again easily considering their numbers are even better this time around.
29 09 05 Felix Gauthier
Roger Clavet is a great campainer (very charismatic and sympatic) and the liberals are still very impopular in the Quebec region, especially with the Charest governement (provincial liberals) being at war with the public employees.
21 11 05 Ex-liberal
This riding was closer than it should normally have been in 2004 on account of having a Liberal Cabinet member as the incumbent. Federalists have no more reason to vote Liberal as the incumbent is now a Bloc MP. With the Liberals being so much hated in Quebec City, the race here will be between the Bloc and the Conservatives, and unless the latter manage to have a breakthrough in the province, the Bloc will win easily here.
15 05 05 sam
Hélène Chalifour Sherrer à confirmer quelle allait ce représenter.
C'est clair quelle fera une meilleur figure que si le PLC aurait présenter un candidat plus ou moin inconnu. Il faut dire que le député actuel n'est pas trop populaire
03 05 05 JFB
Ici, dans Louis-Hébert, ce sera une victoire bloquiste. Le Bloc a défait un ministre libéral en 2004, il confirmera cette victoire en 2005.
03 05 05 Paul
Conservative win here... unless (unpopular) Paul Choiry, who wanted to become Quebec City mayor, becomes the party's candidate, in which case the Bloc will keep the seat by a narrow margin.
Helene Chalifour did relatively well only because she was the incumbent and the CHOI-FM decision had not yet been announced. People here see the Bloc as only an another way to prop up the Liberals, and they really are fed up with the Grits.
With the Conservatives more competitive in the Greater Quebec City area, some anti-Liberal voters who voted Bloc in 2004 will move to the CPC, making the riding winnable for them when adding federalist voters who no longer see any reason to vote Liberal.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
If the Bloc could defeat a liberal cabinet minister last time around when they were doing better in the polls, then they will win by a landslide this time around.



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2005 - élection générale
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