10:07 PM 14/06/2005

Prediction Changed
12:44 AM 02/05/2005
Election Prediction Project

Prince Albert
Federal Election - 2006

Constituency Profile

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Brian Fitzpatrick
Patrick Jahn
Valerie Mushinski
Larry Zepp

Brian Fitzpatrick

2004 Result:
Brian Fitzpatrick
Don Hovdebo
Patrick W. Jahn
Marc Loiselle

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

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13 06 05 A. Vancouverite
While M.Lunn does seem to like handicapping all the rural Saskatchewan ridings in the same cheesy way by claiming the NDP "abandoned their rural roots" to chase after the "urban" and "union" vote, a more accurate statement would be that the people of rural Saskatchewan are tired of the NDP not solving agricultural problems and the death of small town Saskatchewan. These problems rub off onto the federal NDP as well preventing them from winning mostly rural ridings in the province. The federal Liberals will be hampered by these problem as well, as they've been in power for a long time too, so they won't win anything other than Wascana and possibly the Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River (if they're lucky and Axeworthy runs for them again they'll have a respectable showing in Saskatoon-Wanuskewin) . All this considered while this seat won't be as strong of a rural Saskatchewan hold as many other seats in the province for the Conservatives (because it contains the city of Prince Albert), they'll still hold on by a significant margin.
08 05 05 MDF+
Not the best public speaker? The man doesn't have a clue. Fitzpatrisk routinely embarrasses himself by making partisan speeches in inappropriate settings. Even Conservatives are offended by the way he tries to make medal presentations and testimonial dinners into partisan occasions.
04 05 05 Nick Boragina
The MP is popular here, even if he is not the best public speaker. He should win again easily. I do expect the NDP's numbers to go up, but not by enough. Not only does he win the rural areas, but Fitzpatrick wins the city, which is hard for any tory to do.
02 05 05 M. Lunn
This was largely a conservative riding due to John Diefenbaker's personal popularity. After he died, this became an NDP stronghold until the NDP abandoned its CCF agrarian roots and became more of an urban party. That being said, Brian Fitzpatrick should have no trouble being re-elected as the liberals were never strong in Rural Saskatchewan and the NDP is dead in Rural Saskatchewan.
26 04 05 Travis
This a rural riding that saw Brian Fitzpatricks percentage of support go up last election from what it was in 2000. Look for Brian Fitzpatrick to be sent back to Ottawa once again as the MP for Prince Albert.

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