9:21 PM 12/12/2005

Prediction Changed
12:59 AM 04/05/2005
Election Prediction Project

Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
Federal Election - 2006

Constituency Profile

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Green Party/Parti Vert
Ed Baye
Christian Heritage
Ron Gray
Malcolm James
Dorothy-Jean O'Donnell
Chuck Strahl
Myra Sweeney

Chuck Strahl

2004 Result:
Chuck Strahl
Rollie L. Keith
Bob Besner
Aisha Coghlan
Ron Gray
Norm Siefken
Dorothy-Jean O'Donnell

For historical result, please see
2004 Prediction page

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05 12 05 quasar
Aside from the fact that he has been re-elected over and over again by massive landslides, this guy is an extremely, up-close-and-personal, popular MP. No wonder his campaign blog is such a growing hit- it really gives you a taste of his humourous personality. Add to this the fact that he's a speaker, and this is part of the Bible-Belt, you're seeing another shoe-in win.
04 10 05 M. Lunn
It looks like Chuck Strahl, unless his health takes a turn for the worse, will be running again. Asides from his personal popularity, the Fraser Valley portion, which is where most of the population lives, is part of the Bible Belt so even though the Conservatives will likely lose several of their BC seats, Chuck Strahl is safe and should he not be able to run, this one will still go conservative anyways.
17 09 05 M. Lunn
Its too bad Chuck Strahl was diagnosed with lung cancer at such a young age, although hopefully he does make a full recovery. Due to the low chances of survival and the amount of treatment he will have to go through if he does survive, I highly doubt he will seek re-election. This will certainly hurt the Conservatives as he was very popular amongst his constituents, but that said, most of his riding's population lives in the Fraser Valley which is a Conservative area and will still go Conservative although they will probably get less than 50% this time around should he not run again.
08 05 05 Nick Boragina
Strahl has won here since 1993 if I'm not mistaken, he's popular locally to boot. He was a possible leadership candidate last time for the tories, and he still is in the future. Technically he could reasonably become the Prime Minister, and not too many prospective Prime Ministers have lost their seats in general elections. Certainly he will at least be Speaker if the tories win the election, he is the deputy speaker right now, and often sits in the chair.
03 05 05 hatman
The conservatives won here in 2004 by nearly 15,000 votes. Chuck Strahl is very popular, and is rather decent for a Conservative. I believe he a deputy speaker. The NDP may target the riding, since they finished 2nd last time, but 15,000 is too much to overcome.
02 05 05 Miles Lunn
With 2/3 of the riding's population living in the Fraser Valley, which is part of the Bible Belt, this should be an easy Conservative win no matter how poorly they do in the Fraser Canyon portion. Chuck Strahl will probably be the next speaker of the house should the Conservatives win the next election.

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