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11:34 AM 05/04/2007

Projet D'Élection Prévision

élection générale (Canada) - 2007

Profil de circonscription

Bloc Québécois
Freeman, Carole
New Democratic
Jurado, Sonia
Routhier, Pierre-Paul
Sarwer-Foner, Brian
Schwey, Linda

Carole Freeman

2006 Résultats:
Carole Freeman
Rosaire Turcot
Charles Ghorayeb
Ehsan Mohammadian
Alain Rioux

prévision/résultats historiques
06 prévision /04 résultats
04 prévision /00 résultats

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08 02 16 A.S.
On surface, just another overwhelmingly Bloc seat in Greater Montreal with a fading ADQ honeymoon going. Countering that, however, is a strong Anglophone community within Chateauguay proper--and its federalist leanings explain why the otherwise-cratering Quebec Grits still managed to hold on to nearly 20% and less than two points behind the Tories here...
07 04 06
It's much too soon to call this one should be called for the Bloc. Provincially, this one comprises Chateauguay and parts of Laprairie, one of which was won by the Quebec Liberals, while the other went ADQ. ADQ finished a strong second in Chateauguay against a high profile cabmin, Jean Marc Fournier.
What if the Adequiste that nearly unseated Fournier runs Tory federally?
The landscape has changed greatly. The old separatist/federalist paradigm seems to be breaking down, and the old coalitions that would rally people of all political stripes around one party or another based on the ‘Question nationale’ seems to be rather unfashionable these days.
07 04 02 Nick J Boragina
While it is still too close to call, remember that the ADQ's win here was a shocker to the ADQ itself. Even with the tories far behind in the last ballot, they do stand to potentially gain this time around, especially when you take into account that 2 years ago they had no party machine in the province, and the ADQ had no party machine in the area. Now both are in place, and it could spell surprise victory. Fortier will be looking for a riding to run in, should be pick this one, its anyones guess.

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