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11:38 AM 05/04/2007

Projet D'Élection Prévision

élection générale (Canada) - 2007

Profil de circonscription

Breton Fontaine, Marianne
Dandenault, Christine
Dicaire, Diane
Labbé, Luc
Landry, Simon
Larochelle, Philippe
Longley, Blair T.
Bloc Québécois
Ménard, Réal
New Democratic
Rocheleau, Jean-Claude

Réal Ménard

2006 Résultats:
Réal Ménard **
Vicky Harvey
Audrey Castonguay
David-Roger Gagnon
Rolf Bramann
Blair T. Longley
Christine Dandenault

prévision/résultats historiques
06 prévision /04 résultats
04 prévision /00 résultats

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08 09 20 david m.
menard will win this one in a walk. the interesting thing will be to see how the ndp candidate fares. if the ndp gets 10,000 votes, federal office is going to be buzzing about quebec for weeks (fingers crossed that it's another minority government).
08 02 16 A.S.
Re the comment on poor PS results: I, too, am puzzled as to why PS/NDP hasn't fared better lately, even on a token basis, in an unaffluent riding so deeply associated with the PQ/BQ left--sort of a Franco-Montreal version of Charles Caccia-era Davenport, I suppose? Well, just as it was senseless to bet against Caccia, it's senseless to bet against Menard, anyhow.
07 09 19 Nick J Boragina
Even if all ADQ voters decide to vote for the CPC candidate, and even if the Liberals, NDP, and Greens don’t run candidates and endorse the CPC candidate, and even if that Candidate is the Leader of the Marijuana party, who ran here last time, and even if that candidate gets the endorsement of the Commies, that candidate still wont win. I say this not because it’s a strong Bloc riding, but because of the roots Menard has set down in this riding. Some people think he will be the next leader of the Bloc. He ran in 1984 for the PNQ, a predecessor party to the Bloc, and in 1993 won his riding without a problem. He’s also openly gay, and in these days that’s not a hindrance like it would have been 15 years ago, but a big plus. Menard will win this riding again, no problem.
07 06 19
Comté très francophone et très indépendantiste avec une machine très bien rôdée pas la député péquiste, Louise Harel, qui est très populaire dans son comté au provincial et un pillier du mouvement souverainiste!
Le Bloc ne craint absolument rien ici. Il sera réélu les doigts dans le nez.
07 04 14 Efrem
A strongly working class and overwhelmingly Francophone riding in East Montreal, Hochelaga is a natural BQ stronghold (and one in which the BQ (and PQ for that matter) act the role of a more conventional social democratic party) and is about as predictable as Mount Royal. Still, it's interesting to note quite how badly QS did in Hochelaga's main provincial counterpart (Hochelaga-Maisonneuve) earlier in the year, especially when compared to more gentrified areas further south. Something that says quite a bit about the electoral base of QS, that.
07 04 03 P.P.
Louise Harel in this riding was one rare P.Q. member that increased her majority in the 2007 provincial election. This will remain a strong Bloc riding. This one is not even close
07 03 30 J.F. Breton
Ménard ne craint rien ici. Majorité écrasante difficile à renverser dans une circonscription francophone très souverainiste. Organisation péquiste bien rodée par Louise Harel. Victoire bloquiste.
07 03 29 M. Lunn
A left leaning urban separatist riding, which means an easy BQ win. Even if most ADQ voters do switch to the Conservatives, it will have no impact here.

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